Blog

Deflecting Immigration Questions

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Uncomfortable questions about in-state tuition might prompt candidates like Greg Abbott to reach into Rick Perry's bag of tricks for an issue that addresses immigration issues without inflaming the wrong voters.

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A Trickle of Votes for a Water Fund

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Texas voter turnout is low, but for constitutional amendments like the one next month, turnout is often very, very low. So how do you figure out which poll respondents deserve your attention?

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Clear Demographics, Unclear Politics

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Sages in both political parties say they are the natural ideological allies of the rising Hispanic population in Texas. But while the demographic trends are undeniable, the political meaning behind them is cloudy.

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Will the Tea Party Press John Cornyn?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Some in the Tea Party faction of the Texas GOP are encouraging talk of a challenge to U.S. Sen. John Cornyn, R-Texas, raising a question: Is he vulnerable to a challenge?

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Education Could Test Both Parties

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Education could be a tricky issue for gubernatorial candidates in 2014, with both the Democratic and Republican nominee having to navigate through unexpected cross-currents among their own constituencies.

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Lies, Damn Lies and Campaign Polls

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

An ever-expanding niche market of political junkies — and the specialized media that feeds it — finds news in polling results and in conflicts over polling practice. The release of internal polls becomes as much about shaping public opinion as it is about measuring it.

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Keywords: 2014 Election

Are Suburban Women Key to Democratic Resurgence?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

While the Hispanic vote has been the focus of much of the analysis of Democrats’ prospects for turning the Republican tide, in the short term, they will almost certainly need to look to suburban women — especially if Wendy Davis is at the top of the ticket.

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Inventing Abbott

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

For all the advantages that have lent the feel of an unofficial coronation to his candidacy for governor, Attorney General Greg Abbott remains an undefined figure among many Texas voters, including as many as 40 percent of Republican primary voters. 

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How Holder May Help Abbott in 2014

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Public opinion on voting rights in Texas neither paints a dour picture for gubernatorial hopeful Greg Abbott nor presents a clear path forward for Democrats.

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How Abortion Could Shape a 2014 Abbott-Davis Contest

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

The return of abortion bills during the special sessions presents opportunities for both Greg Abbott and Wendy Davis to consolidate support and financial backers. But the choices they make could result in a potentially complicated general election dynamic.

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