Democratic Primary Vote Choice Certainty (October 2019)

Democratic Primary Vote Choice Certainty (October 2019)

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryTotal
Very likely19%
Somewhat likely20%
Not very likely31%
Not at all likely23%
Don't know/No opinion7%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Very likely16%33%30%
Somewhat likely19%21%22%
Not very likely34%6%27%
Not at all likely24%21%20%
Don't know/No opinion7%20%0%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Very likely9%9%22%
Somewhat likely24%19%16%
Not very likely35%43%29%
Not at all likely24%21%25%
Don't know/No opinion7%8%7%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Very likely35%18%26%
Somewhat likely18%25%31%
Not very likely38%14%10%
Not at all likely9%44%34%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Very likely12%11%38%
Somewhat likely22%18%18%
Not very likely35%33%21%
Not at all likely25%24%19%
Don't know/No opinion5%13%4%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Very likely7%7%23%
Somewhat likely29%21%15%
Not very likely32%40%34%
Not at all likely26%27%23%
Don't know/No opinion6%5%4%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Very likely31%24%62%
Somewhat likely17%28%8%
Not very likely28%30%3%
Not at all likely20%14%24%
Don't know/No opinion4%5%3%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Very likely9%32%20%
Somewhat likely26%14%16%
Not very likely39%18%32%
Not at all likely18%27%27%
Don't know/No opinion8%9%5%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryMaleFemale
Very likely23%15%
Somewhat likely18%21%
Not very likely29%33%
Not at all likely23%24%
Don't know/No opinion8%7%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Very likely22%17%12%
Somewhat likely21%20%14%
Not very likely26%34%45%
Not at all likely25%21%27%
Don't know/No opinion7%9%3%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
category18-2930-4445-6465+
Very likely29%22%16%3%
Somewhat likely15%22%17%26%
Not very likely27%28%34%39%
Not at all likely25%19%27%21%
Don't know/No opinion3%10%6%11%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Very likely12%19%31%16%15%12%
Somewhat likely8%14%19%21%23%28%
Not very likely64%20%23%33%38%35%
Not at all likely14%33%22%23%20%19%
Don't know/No opinion2%13%5%7%5%6%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Very likely33%16%7%7%
Somewhat likely14%25%23%22%
Not very likely21%28%49%41%
Not at all likely26%26%11%25%
Don't know/No opinion7%6%11%6%

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More
Loading chart...
categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Very likely37%17%8%
Somewhat likely16%21%22%
Not very likely17%30%42%
Not at all likely25%22%23%
Don't know/No opinion5%9%4%

Latest Poll News

FROM BANG TO WHIMPER: BETO O’ROURKE’S EXIT AND THE SPECTER OF WHAT MIGHT HAVE BEEN

In an alternate universe envisioned by Beto O’Rourke’s fan base about a year ago, this weekend might have witnessed his breakout performance at the Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty and Justice Dinner on Friday, followed by the release of UT/TT Polling showing him leading the Democratic presidential primary field in his home state – the real world looks a little different today.

FIVE TAKEAWAYS ON TEXANS’ VIEWS OF THE IMPEACHMENT OF DONALD TRUMP

The October 2019 University of Texas / Texas Tribune Poll finds Texans polarized along partisan lines, as is much of the country, but also revealed some subtleties in the attitudes toward the major political story of the day.

AN IMPEACHMENT, A HOUSE SCANDAL AND THE 2020 ELECTIONS COULD BEDEVIL TEXAS GOP

Amidst the historic national implications of the now all-but-certain impeachment proceedings against Donald Trump, a renewed focus on questions of corruption and abuse of power in the White House threatens Republican Texas incumbents’ near-monoply of the state’s political system.

Texas Public Opinion And The Politics Of The Border Security–Government Shutdown Imbroglio

If politics in the state capital seem to have taken an oddly agreeable turn in the interim between the November elections and the commencement of the 86th Texas Legislative Session in January 2019, the resurgence of the politics of border security remind us that the nativist sentiment among the Republican base is never far from the surface.

2018 Election Polling in Texas

We're continuously compiling available polling results for Texas statewide races in one place. This post will be updated regularly to reflect the release of new public polls.