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The 1860 Presidential Election: A Real World Example

In real elections with more than two alternatives, as in made-up examples, different voting procedures can surprisingly often lead to dramatically different outcomes. The 1860 presidential election provides a real-world example.

Lincoln today is usually ranked among the greatest presidents. In 1860, though, he was an extraordinarily polarizing figure, popular with many in the North but abhorred in the South. Douglas, Lincoln's closest competitor, was widely popular. As the popular vote shows, Lincoln won more first place votes than Douglas. But according to historians Douglas was nearly everyone's second choice. Douglas, according to a recent study, would have won using almost any procedure other than plurality rule.[4]

Candidate Party % Popular Vote Electoral
College Votes
% Electoral
College Vote
Abraham Lincoln Republican 39.8 180 59.4
John Breckenridge Southern Democratic 18.1 72 23.8
John Bell Constitutional Union 12.6 39 12.9
Stephen Douglas Democratic 29.5 12 4.0

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Footnote [4]: Tabarrok, A., and L. Spector. (full footnote)