Keyword: Elizabeth Warren

From Bang to Whimper: Beto O’Rourke’s Exit and The Specter of What Might Have Been

| By: Jim Henson and Joshua Blank

In an alternate universe envisioned by Beto O’Rourke’s fan base about a year ago, this weekend might have witnessed his breakout performance at the Iowa Democratic Party’s Liberty and Justice Dinner on Friday, followed by the release of a University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll showing him leading the Democratic presidential primary field in his home state, poised to make a strong showing in Iowa and turn Texas blue while on the way to changing the Electoral College map for 2020 and beyond as he rid the country of Donald Trump and swept into the White House. 


The real world looks a little different today.


Biden is Second Choice Among Clinton Supporters in Texas - But Still a Long Shot

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

If Biden's rationale for entering the primary is to win the nomination, his only real chance (without guarantee of success) is for one of the most durable political figures of the last two-plus decades of American politics to be forced out of the race by circumstances. This is closer to the presidency than virtually anyone in America ever gets – but far from a sure thing for Biden.