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Science and Politics — and Partisans

| By: Joshua Blank, PhD

An endorsement by the most famous political independent in the country highlights a political fault line: the partisan division over the usefulness of science in policy making.

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Eight Months of the U.S. Senate Race

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

Before Tuesday's election, here's a look at the last eight months of polling in the Republican race for U.S. Senate.

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The Conservative Core and the 2012 Primary Elections

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The February 2012 University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll shows a riptide of very conservative opinion is exerting a strong pull on state politics.

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Just What is a "Likely Voter"?

| By: Joshua Blank, PhD

In a poll of potential voters, how should we go about determining what the electorate might look like on Election Day?

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Less Resistance to Gov. Perry than to Candidate Perry

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

Lame duck or not, Rick Perry is still the Republican governor of a strongly Republican state. In Texas, he controls the levers of government, muzzles the news media and has no meaningful political opposition.

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Keywords: Governor, Rick Perry

Rick Perry Returns to Texas, and to Texas Politics

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The underlying fundamentals that buttressed Gov. Rick Perry's political power in the state are not much changed, and they suggest that the governor will reassert his powerful presence in Texas politics now that he is back.

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Keywords: Rick Perry

Race, Ideology and Redistricting

| By: Adam Myers

Which groups in Texas believe most strongly that their members of Congress don't represent people "like them"? Liberal and moderate whites.

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Perry Campaigned Against Obama Instead of White

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

No campaign postmortem will be complete without noting the huge role played by Barack Obama in the 2010 governor's race.

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Different Voter Models, Different Poll Results

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Daron Shaw

So how to create a likely voter model? Campaign pollsters typically use a combination of past voting history — available off the registered voter list — and current interest and engagement. Those who have voted in the past, as well as those who are jazzed about voting this year, tend to get into the likely electorate.

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Keywords: 2010 Election

Texans Like Private-Sector Work but Vote for Public

| By: Adam Myers

Is the anti-career-politician, pro-outsider-businessman mood palpable in Texas? Yes. Is this preference for private-sector experience related to vote choice in the governor’s race? No.

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