Blog

Six Points Separate Perry and White — or Is It More?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

Six points separate Rick Perry and Bill White, but that's not all there is to it: The pattern of partisan preferences evident in the latest polling suggests that the Republican Party still holds a substantial baseline advantage over the Democrats in Texas.

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Is the Texas Governor's Race as Close as It Looks?

| By: Daron Shaw

Make no mistake: A Democrat running in a statewide race in Texas who is not losing by double-digits is doing relatively well. But this raises the larger question: Can Bill White actually win?

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Obama's Numbers Justify White's Cold Shoulder

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

Bill White deciding to travel to points far from Austin and Dallas while President Barack Obama visits the state today to raise money and speak at the University of Texas presents us with yet another mountain-out-of-a-molehill political story in the long, hot summer of gassy coverage of the governor’s race. A look at Obama’s standing in Texas makes it clear that White would be nuts to share a stage with Obama unless he feels like doing a favor for Gov. Rick Perry’s ad team.

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Will the Greens Take Votes From the Democrats?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The potential Green Party drain of votes away from the Democrats is probably pretty small.

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Perry's Lead Over White Is Not From the Big Cities

| By: Adam Myers

Bill White’s problem is an “everywhere else” problem, which is only partly rural in nature.

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UT/Texas Tribune Polls Finds GOP Strength

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Daron Shaw

At this point, anti-incumbent sentiment in Texas appears to be dwarfed by party identification and opposition to the national Democratic Party.

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Rick Perry's Successful Message on Immigration

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The governor's political radar is characteristically fine-tuned here, at least for the short term.

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Keywords: Immigration, Rick Perry

Do Voters Buy the Positive Talk About Texas?

| By: Adam Myers

What do Texans think about the fiscal and economic model for the rest of the country? Do they agree with Gov. Rick Perry that the Texas way is the better way?

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Keywords: Economy, Rick Perry

How the Governor's Race Polls Have Trended

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Daron Shaw

An election that initially favored Sen. Hutchison has settled into a contest where Sen. Hutchison’s support is in the high 20’s while Gov. Perry’s is in the mid-40’s.

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Rick Perry's Resonance With GOP Primary Voters

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

Whether he crosses the 50% threshold or is forced into a run-off when the polls close next Tuesday, the results of the last UT/Texas Tribune Poll suggest that Rick Perry's synchronous orbit over a big chunk of the Republican primary electorate has helped him prove many observers — not to mention KBH boosters and donors — very wrong.

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