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Polling Trends in the Abbott-Davis Race

| By: Joshua Blank, PhD and Jim Henson, PhD

A summary of public polling on the Texas Governor's race among likely voters since June 2014.

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Keywords: 2014 Election, Polling

October 2014 UT/Texas Tribune Poll Finds Republican Candidates With Large Leads in Statewide Races

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

The October 2014 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll found Republican candidates favored over Democratic candidates by substantial margins in several statewide general election contests, with the Republican gubernatorial candidate, Attorney General Greg Abbott, leading the Democratic candidate, state Senator Wendy Davis of Fort Worth, by a 16-point margin, 54 percent to 38 percent.  Six percent of likely voters chose Libertarian candidate Kathie Glass, and Green Candidate Brandon Parmer was the choice of 2 percent.

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CBS News/NYT The Upshot/YouGov Battleground Tracker Shows Abbott Leading Davis 54%-40%

| By: Joshua Blank, PhD

The third wave results of the CBS/NYT/YouGov Battleground Tracker were released today, and show Abbott leading Davis by a 14-point margin, a 4-point gain for Davis since the last wave of polling.

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Can Texas Democrats win while losing?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Republicans appear poised to again sweep this year's statewide elections. But dig deeper into the data and you'll find faint signs of long-term promise for Texas Democrats, even if their standard-bearer loses in November. 

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Same As It Ever Was? Brief Soundings on Public Opinion in Texas from the CBS/NYT/YouGov Texas Senate Release

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The first release of the third wave of the massive New York Times/CBS News/YouGov Battleground Tracker included results in the 2014 Senate races as well as results for the "national attitudes" items.

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Texas Lyceum Poll Finds Abbott Leading Davis 49-40 Among Likely Voters

| By: Jim Henson, PhD

The 2014 Texas Lyceum Poll finds Greg Abbott leading Wendy Davis 49%-40% among likely voters. Libertarian and Green Party candidates Kathie Glass and Brandon Parmer each garnered two points, and eight percent declined to choose a candidate. The poll was conducted from September 11-25, and had an overall sample size of 1000 respondents.  The trial ballot results were among a sub-group of 666 likely voters, and had a margin of error of +/- 3.80 percentage points.  

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5 takeaways from TribuneFest

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Given the high-level discourse that pervades The Texas Tribune Festival, it may seem uncouth to scrutinize the event in the context of polling. But it's a useful way to analyze what was happening onstage. 

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Reminded to be Afraid: Anxiety and Advertisements in the 2014 Texas Gubernatorial Election

| By: Bethany Albertson and Joshua Blank, PhD

By looking at the emotional dynamics underlying the Abbott and Davis campaigns' advertisements, one can get a clearer sense of how each really views the 2014 Texas Governor's race.

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Blurred lines in polling on governor's race

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Recent polls have painted two divergent pictures of the Greg Abbott-Wendy Davis race. Here's a rundown of what that means and what to pay attention to as November draws near. 

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Keywords: 2014 Election, Polling

CBS News/NYT The Upshot/YouGov Battleground Tracker Shows Abbott Leading Davis 54%-36%

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