Blog

Lies, Damn Lies and Campaign Polls

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

An ever-expanding niche market of political junkies — and the specialized media that feeds it — finds news in polling results and in conflicts over polling practice. The release of internal polls becomes as much about shaping public opinion as it is about measuring it.

Read more...

Keywords: 2014 Election

Are Suburban Women Key to Democratic Resurgence?

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

While the Hispanic vote has been the focus of much of the analysis of Democrats’ prospects for turning the Republican tide, in the short term, they will almost certainly need to look to suburban women — especially if Wendy Davis is at the top of the ticket.

Read more...

Inventing Abbott

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

For all the advantages that have lent the feel of an unofficial coronation to his candidacy for governor, Attorney General Greg Abbott remains an undefined figure among many Texas voters, including as many as 40 percent of Republican primary voters. 

Read more...

How Holder May Help Abbott in 2014

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Public opinion on voting rights in Texas neither paints a dour picture for gubernatorial hopeful Greg Abbott nor presents a clear path forward for Democrats.

Read more...

How Abortion Could Shape a 2014 Abbott-Davis Contest

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

The return of abortion bills during the special sessions presents opportunities for both Greg Abbott and Wendy Davis to consolidate support and financial backers. But the choices they make could result in a potentially complicated general election dynamic.

Read more...

Ambivalence Structures Gridlock on NSA Surveillance

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

It's not surprising that the political class hasn't rallied to one side or the other on the debate over NSA surveillance; the public is sending oblique messages to its elected officials.

Read more...

Keywords: Ideology, Privacy

Perry’s Whack at the Obamacare Piñata

| By: Joshua Blank, PhD and Jim Henson, PhD

While most Americans do in fact have an opinion on the Affordable Care Act, to say that they understand it — at all, let alone “all too well” — runs contrary to the data currently available.

Read more...

Keywords: Obamacare, Rick Perry

Joe Straus and the Other Republicans

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Many statewide Republican candidates are running to the right to position themselves for the primaries, but the Speaker of the House enjoys a rarified position: An office with statewide reach that doesn't appear on the statewide ballot.

Read more...

Patrick Ad Goes Fishing for GOP Primary Votes

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

Data from the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll suggests that the issues Sen. Dan Patrick invokes in the latest ad in his bid for lieutenant governor serve up very inviting bait for conservative voters, the big fish in GOP primary elections. 

Read more...

From Smooth Sailing to Traffic Jam

| By: Jim Henson, PhD and Joshua Blank, PhD

The regular Texas legislative session was notable for bipartisan coalitions and harmony. The special sessions have been notable for partisan battles and stalemates. To understand what's going on, just look at the voters.

Read more...

Pages