Looking at Some Unofficial 2020 Texas Election Results in Context

In an effort to begin understanding the 2020 Election in Texas, the Texas Politics Project has collected unofficial election results from the 2020 Election as of November 6, 2020, and compared them to the results of recent Texas elections. These results are broken down by common conceptual (e.g. "The Big-6") and regional (e.g. the Dallas-Fort Worth region, including surrounding counties) aggregations. The "Top-of-Ticket" tables include presidential results for 2012, 2016, and 2020, but also 2018 gubernatorial election results for comparison, given the large increase in votes and relevant shift in vote share during that election. The senate tables include results for the 2020 and 2018 U.S. Senate Elections in Texas. Again, the 2020 results are unofficial, having been collected on November 4, 5, and 6 from either the Texas Secretary of State or the websites of individual county registrars. The index below links to tables for that geography.

Index:

Overall
The Big-6
Suburban Counties
Central Texas
Dallas-Ft. Worth Region
Houston Region
RGV

 

Overall Results

Top-of-Ticket Vote
  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 11,231,799 100% 5,860,096 5,211,406 648,690 52.17% 46.4% 5.77%
2018 8,343,443 100% 4,656,196 3,546,615 1,109,581 55.81% 42.51% 13.30%
2016 8,969,226 100% 4,685,047 3,877,868 807,179 52.23% 43.24% 8.99%
2012 7,993,851 100% 4,569,843 3,308,124 1,261,719 57.17% 41.38% 15.79%

 

Senate Vote
  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 11,066,168 100% 5,931,602 4,844,433 1,087,169 53.6% 43.78% 9.82%
2018 8,371,655 100% 4,260,553 4,045,632 214,921 50.89% 48.33% 2.56%

 

The Big-6 Counties

The "Big-6" Counties include Bexar, Dallas, El Paso, Harris, Travis, and Tarrant Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in Big-6 Counties
  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 4,977,477 44.87% 1,950,698 2,948,180 -997,482 39.19% 59.23% -20.04%
2018 3,799,698 45.40% 1,436,642 2,332,467 -895,825 37.81% 61.36% -23.55%
2016 4,014,006 44.69% 1,577,875 2,233,039 -655,164 39.31% 55.63% -16.32%
2012 3,581,675 44.79% 1,669,725 1,856,282 -186,557 46.62% 51.83% -5.21%

 

Senate Vote in Big-6 Counties
  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 4,908,914 44.25% 2,025,870 2,743,022 -717,152 41.27% 55.88% -14.61%
2018 3,799,698 45.40% 1,436,642 2,332,467 -895,825 37.81% 61.36% -23.55%

 

Suburban Counties

Suburban Counties include Wise, Denton, Collin, Rockwall, Hunt, Kaufman, Ellis, Johnson, Parker, Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Williamson, Galveston, Chambers, Liberty, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Fort Bend, Brazoria, Austin, Kendall, Comal, Guadalupe, Wilson, Atascosa, Medina, and Bandera Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in Suburban Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 3,052,067 27.51% 1,778,044 1,225,063 552,981 58.26% 40.14% 18.12%
2018 2,209,303 26.40% 1,287,749 903,068 384,681 58.29% 40.88% 17.41%
2016 2,290,739 25.50% 1,385,939 787,242 598,697 60.50% 34.37% 26.13%
2012 1,930,860 24.14% 1,283,712 618,177 665,535 66.48% 32.02% 34.46%

 

Senate Vote in Suburban Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 3,007,532 27.11% 1,806,564 1,126,015 680,549 60.07% 37.44% 22.63%
2018 2,209,303 26.40% 1,287,749 903,068 384,681 58.29% 40.88% 17.41%

 

Central Texas

Central Texas Counties include Bastrop, Caldwell, Hays, Travis, and Williamson Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in Central Texas Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 1,053,093 9.49% 374,445 655,720 -281,275 35.56% 62.27% -26.71%
2018 810,607 9.69% 273,447 528,221 -254,774 33.73% 65.16% -31.43%
2016 786,386 8.76% 288,229 441,316 -153,087 36.65% 56.12% -19.47%
2012 644,488 8.06% 288,873 334,855 -45,982 44.82% 51.96% -7.14%

 

Senate Vote in Central Texas Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 1,036,467 9.34% 393,392 614,269 -220,877 37.96% 59.27% -21.31%
2018 810,607 9.69% 273,447 528,221 -254,774 33.73% 65.16% -31.43%

 

Dallas-Ft. Worth Region

Dallas-Ft. Worth Region Counties include Dallas, Tarrant, Wise, Denton, Collin, Rockwall, Hunt, Kaufman, Ellis, Johnson, and Parker Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in Dallas-Ft. Worth Region Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 3,047,726 27.47% 1,483,132 1,517,463 -34,331 48.66% 49.79% -1.13%
2018 2,303,480 27.52% 1,113,994 1,171,209 -57,215 48.36% 50.85% -2.49%
2016 2,401,972 26.74% 1,218,842 1,066,290 152,552 50.74% 44.39% 6.35%
2012 2,135,762 26.71% 1,205,855 900,749 305,106 56.46% 42.17% 14.29%

 

Senate Vote in Dallas-Ft. Worth Region Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 3,020,600 27.23% 1,538,701 1,403,399 135,302 50.94% 46.46% 4.48%
2018 2,303,480 27.52% 1,113,994 1,171,209 -57,215 48.36% 50.85% -2.49%

 

Houston Region

Houston Region Counties include Harris, Galveston, Chambers, Liberty, San Jacinto, Montgomery, Waller, Fort Bend, Brazoria, and Austin Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in Houston Region Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 2,646,223 23.85% 1,300,186 1,309,904 -9,718 49.13% 49.50% -0.37%
2018 1,951,409 23.32% 935,629 1,001,868 -66,239 47.95% 51.34% -3.39%
2016 2,104,775 23.43% 1,020,566 993,209 27,357 48.49% 47.19% 1.30%
2012 1,872,184 23.41% 1,034,815 814,208 220,607 55.27% 43.49% 11.78%

 

Senate Vote in Houston Region Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 2,603,779 23.47% 1,321,095 1,216,667 104,428 50.74% 46.73% 4.01%
2018 1,951,409 23.32% 935,629 1,001,868 -66,239 47.95% 51.34% -3.39%

 

Rio Grande Valley (RGV)

Rio Grande Valley Counties inlude Starr, Hidalgo, Willacy, and Cameron Counties.

Top-of-Ticket Vote in RGV Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 356,121 3.21% 149,420 203,319 -53,899 41.96% 57.09% -15.14%
2018 244,740 2.92% 79,042 164,205 -85,163 32.30% 67.09% -34.79%
2016 283,070 3.15% 81,846 190,839 -108,993 28.91% 67.42% -38.51%
2012 232,857 2.91% 68,927 161,804 -92,877 29.60% 69.49% -39.89%

 

Senate Vote in RGV Counties

  Votes Cast % of Statewide Vote R Votes D Votes R Vote Advantage R % D % R % Advantage
2020* 338,777 3.05% 138,030 188,520 -50,490 40.74% 55.65% -14.90%
2018 244,740 2.92% 79,042 164,205 -85,163 32.30% 67.09% -34.79%

 

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