Donald Trump’s potential impact on Texas voters in the 2020 elections remains one of the key factors in both major parties’ strategies for the general election in November.
Polling data from the University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll illustrates that, when it comes to national politics, the Texas GOP is the party of Trump. The table below illustrates that in several major demographic categories, Trump’s job approval remains high three years into his presidency, and, while there have been some minor fluctuations, among most GOP constituencies his approval has held steady or even increased. Among the notable voting groups that have been the subject of attention from both parties, the President's approval numbers among Republican women were seven percentage points higher in October 2019 (85%) than they were in February 2017 (78%), shortly after his inauguration. In the suburbs, ground zero for both parties’ efforts in 2020, the president’s job approval among Republicans is at 88%, essentially unchanged since the beginning of presidency.
As the 2020 election campaign continues to unfold, we’ll update this table with new polling data and perhaps even new sub-categories of GOP voters where the data is available and relevant.
| Overall | GOP | GOP Men | GOP Women | GOP with College Degree | GOP without College Degree | Urban GOP | Suburban GOP | Rural GOP | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| February 2020 | 45 | 87 | 89 | 85 | 87 | 86 | 88 | 87 | 86 |
| October 2019 | 47 | 88 | 91 | 85 | 84 | 90 | 85 | 88 | 90 |
| June 2019 | 52 | 89 | 90 | 87 | 86 | 91 | 82 | 90 | 93 |
| February 2019 | 49 | 88 | 92 | 84 | 89 | 87 | 83 | 89 | 88 |
| October 2018 | 48 | 88 | 89 | 88 | 87 | 89 | 82 | 88 | 97 |
| June 2018 | 47 | 88 | 88 | 87 | 85 | 89 | 77 | 87 | 97 |
| February 2018 | 46 | 83 | 87 | 79 | 80 | 85 | 68 | 85 | 96 |
| October 2017 | 45 | 79 | 80 | 77 | 71 | 83 | 67 | 78 | 87 |
| June 2017 | 43 | 80 | 82 | 78 | 77 | 82 | 70 | 82 | 84 |
| February 2017 | 45 | 81 | 85 | 78 | 79 | 82 | 67 | 86 | 84 |