2022 Gubernatorial Vote Intention (October 2022)
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Greg Abbott”, “the Democrat Beto O’Rourke”, “the Libertarian Mark Tippets”, “the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios”] the Republican Greg Abbott, the Democrat Beto O’Rourke, the Libertarian Mark Tippets, the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-4]" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.. Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought enough about the election to have an opinion were asked a follow-up question: “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Responses to this item were folded into those who initially indicated a preference. Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November eletions on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
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