-
Respondents were asked, "[ASK IF Q18A|Q18B == 1] You said that in a general election between Greg Abbott and Beto O’Rourke that you would vote for Greg Abbott. Which of the following better describes your vote choice:". Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November eletions on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
-
Respondents were asked, "[ASK IF Q18A|Q18B == 2] You said that in a general election between Beto O’Rourke and Greg Abbott that you would vote for Beto O’Rourke. Which of the following better describes your vote choice:". Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November eletions on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
-
Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Greg Abbott”, “the Democrat Beto O’Rourke”, “the Libertarian Mark Tippets”, “the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios”] the Republican Greg Abbott, the Democrat Beto O’Rourke, the Libertarian Mark Tippets, the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-4]". Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought enough about the election to have an opinion were asked a follow-up question: “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Responses to this item were folded into those who initially indicated a preference. Likely voters were defined as those respondents who indicated that they have voted in every election in the past 2-3 years in response to Q2; or those respondents who rated their likelihood to vote in the November eletions on a 10-point scale as a 9 or a 10 in response to Q3B.
-
October 03, 2022 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
In this election cycle in Texas, suburbanites, self-described ideological moderates, Hispanics, and political independents have emerged as important to the final electoral outcome and thus, to the campaigns because of their relative size and the fact that, as we show below, each includes substantial numbers of members of both parties. One consequence of this combination of size and partisan mixture is that even if targeted messages fail to persuade voters to cross party lines, these messages still have the effect of resonating with a campaign's own voters, amplifying the overall effort to increase their turnout.
-
September 30, 2022 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
The gubernatorial debate between incumbent Republican Governor Greg Abbott and Democratic challenger Beto ORourke in McAllen, Texas is likely to be the only time the two candidates will share a stage in the 2022 campaign. The University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll has been exploring Texas attitudes related to the candidates and the broader context of the election over the last year, and got into extensive detail in our most recent poll, which was conducted from August 26-September 6. To provide context for tonight’s debate, we’ve gathered several results that illustrate how Texans view each of the candidates, their comparative levels of trust on the major issues emerging in the campaign, and more. This post is built for browsing
-
September 21, 2022 | By:
Texas Politics Project
In a new Second Reading Podcast, Jim Henson and Josh Blank discuss results from the recent University of Texas/Texas Politics Poll on issues in the Texas gubernatorial election in November, including abortion, border security, the economy, gun safety and the Robb Elementary shooting, and more.
-
September 14, 2022 | By:
Jim Henson,
Joshua Blank
The latest University of Texas/Texas Politics Project poll finds Gov. Greg Abbott sustaining a polling lead over Democratic challenger Beto O’Rourke, 45%-40%, albeit one that has narrowed as the gubernatorial campaign enters its final and most public phase. Beyond the top lines of the gubernatorial trial ballot, the poll results illuminate an election environment in which the gubernatorial contest between Abbott and O’Rourke is the most competitive race for the office Texas has seen in decades. Yet the results also reveal the advantages Abbott still enjoys among the Texas electorate, and the significant obstacles O’Rourke still faces in putting together a coalition of voters capable of overcoming the advantages, political and structural, that Abbott enjoys.
-
Respondents were asked, "How would you rate the job Greg Abbott is doing as Governor? Would you say that you..."
-
Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 general election for Governor were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE “the Republican Greg Abbott”, “the Democrat Beto O’Rourke”, “the Libertarian Mark Tippets”, “the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios”] the Republican Greg Abbott, the Democrat Beto O’Rourke, the Libertarian Mark Tippets, the Green Party candidate Delilah Barrios, someone else, or haven’t you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-4]"
-
Respondents were asked, "Please tell us whether you have a very favorable, somewhat favorable, neither favorable nor unfavorable, somewhat unfavorable, or very unfavorable opinion of Greg Abbott."
