2010 primary elections in Texas (February 2010)

2010 primary elections in Texas (February 2010)

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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:"

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categorycolumn-1
Definitely vote in the Republican primary35%
Probably vote in the Republican primary12%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary26%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary7%
I only vote in general elections7%
Don't Know13%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Definitely vote in the Republican primary3%19%69%
Probably vote in the Republican primary4%15%19%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary58%6%1%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary15%7%0%
I only vote in general elections8%17%5%
Don't Know12%35%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Definitely vote in the Republican primary52%52%83%
Probably vote in the Republican primary29%22%13%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary4%2%0%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary2%0%0%
I only vote in general elections10%7%2%
Don't Know3%16%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Definitely vote in the Republican primary3%4%3%
Probably vote in the Republican primary11%7%2%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary32%40%71%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary18%20%12%
I only vote in general elections19%13%4%
Don't Know18%17%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Definitely vote in the Republican primary4%10%62%
Probably vote in the Republican primary3%10%16%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary58%36%7%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary15%12%2%
I only vote in general elections9%9%6%
Don't Know11%23%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Definitely vote in the Republican primary43%66%80%
Probably vote in the Republican primary17%20%3%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary11%5%7%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary5%0%0%
I only vote in general elections9%4%5%
Don't Know15%4%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Definitely vote in the Republican primary5%2%3%
Probably vote in the Republican primary4%4%0%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary49%65%68%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary18%12%11%
I only vote in general elections10%8%7%
Don't Know13%9%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Definitely vote in the Republican primary4%71%55%
Probably vote in the Republican primary3%17%16%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary63%3%5%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary14%3%2%
I only vote in general elections7%4%8%
Don't Know9%2%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Race is calculated according to the RACE1 variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Definitely vote in the Republican primary46%3%23%
Probably vote in the Republican primary13%3%14%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary20%57%26%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary5%12%12%
I only vote in general elections6%9%9%
Don't Know11%16%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Definitely vote in the Republican primary40%31%
Probably vote in the Republican primary13%10%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary25%27%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary5%9%
I only vote in general elections7%7%
Don't Know9%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Definitely vote in the Republican primary23%39%44%
Probably vote in the Republican primary12%11%13%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary35%24%16%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary9%7%5%
I only vote in general elections8%7%6%
Don't Know12%12%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "Thinking about the 2010 primary elections in Texas, do you think that you will:" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Definitely vote in the Republican primary26%32%33%40%42%36%
Probably vote in the Republican primary7%14%9%13%12%12%
Definitely vote in the Democratic primary15%21%29%25%27%35%
Probably vote in the Democratic primary10%7%9%7%3%8%
I only vote in general elections0%7%8%5%8%6%
Don't Know41%18%12%10%8%1%

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