2012 GOP Presidential Primary Vote Choice (October 2011)

2012 GOP Presidential Primary Vote Choice (October 2011)

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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.
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categorycolumn-1
Mitt Romney9%
Ron Paul12%
Gary Johnson1%
Michele Bachmann2%
Newt Gingrich8%
Herman Cain27%
Rick Perry26%
Rick Santorum1%
Jon Huntsman1%
Another Republican candidate1%
Don't know11%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Mitt Romney19%10%9%
Ron Paul22%32%10%
Gary Johnson16%0%0%
Michele Bachmann0%0%3%
Newt Gingrich0%1%9%
Herman Cain13%25%28%
Rick Perry12%7%29%
Rick Santorum0%1%1%
Jon Huntsman13%6%0%
Another Republican candidate0%0%1%
Don't know6%17%10%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Mitt Romney7%8%10%
Ron Paul17%10%5%
Michele Bachmann4%5%2%
Newt Gingrich9%2%11%
Herman Cain39%27%23%
Rick Perry12%32%36%
Rick Santorum1%0%1%
Jon Huntsman0%1%0%
Another Republican candidate2%0%2%
Don't know8%15%10%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Mitt Romney7%17%8%
Ron Paul27%14%11%
Gary Johnson11%1%0%
Michele Bachmann0%2%3%
Newt Gingrich0%3%9%
Herman Cain2%9%32%
Rick Perry26%27%25%
Rick Santorum0%0%1%
Jon Huntsman12%2%0%
Another Republican candidate6%0%1%
Don't know8%25%9%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Mitt Romney13%8%4%
Ron Paul14%10%8%
Michele Bachmann1%2%5%
Newt Gingrich12%10%7%
Herman Cain27%32%37%
Rick Perry17%30%23%
Rick Santorum0%1%3%
Jon Huntsman1%0%0%
Another Republican candidate1%1%1%
Don't know15%6%10%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Mitt Romney12%8%13%
Ron Paul33%10%43%
Gary Johnson19%0%0%
Michele Bachmann0%3%0%
Newt Gingrich0%10%0%
Herman Cain0%31%21%
Rick Perry9%28%0%
Rick Santorum0%1%0%
Jon Huntsman20%0%7%
Another Republican candidate0%1%0%
Don't know7%9%16%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE1 variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Mitt Romney11%0%7%
Ron Paul11%0%5%
Gary Johnson1%26%0%
Michele Bachmann3%0%1%
Newt Gingrich10%0%1%
Herman Cain28%25%23%
Rick Perry22%15%45%
Rick Santorum1%0%3%
Jon Huntsman1%0%2%
Another Republican candidate2%0%0%
Don't know11%34%13%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Mitt Romney10%8%
Ron Paul14%10%
Gary Johnson1%0%
Michele Bachmann4%1%
Newt Gingrich7%9%
Herman Cain30%24%
Rick Perry21%31%
Rick Santorum2%1%
Jon Huntsman1%2%
Another Republican candidate2%0%
Don't know9%14%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Mitt Romney11%13%2%
Ron Paul10%14%10%
Gary Johnson1%1%0%
Michele Bachmann4%2%2%
Newt Gingrich8%7%10%
Herman Cain20%26%34%
Rick Perry25%25%26%
Rick Santorum0%1%3%
Jon Huntsman2%1%1%
Another Republican candidate0%1%2%
Don't know18%10%9%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Mitt Romney0%8%9%12%10%12%
Ron Paul16%8%14%14%16%14%
Gary Johnson0%0%2%0%1%0%
Michele Bachmann0%4%1%0%3%5%
Newt Gingrich0%7%9%4%13%6%
Herman Cain59%32%18%30%24%29%
Rick Perry25%26%28%28%19%18%
Rick Santorum0%1%1%4%1%0%
Jon Huntsman0%0%0%3%4%6%
Another Republican candidate0%1%3%0%1%0%
Don't know0%13%14%6%8%12%
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    Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for President were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Mitt Romney14%9%13%15%5%
Ron Paul6%19%2%10%13%
Gary Johnson0%1%4%0%0%
Michele Bachmann0%3%1%3%4%
Newt Gingrich11%8%12%8%5%
Herman Cain33%22%22%29%30%
Rick Perry24%28%32%16%25%
Rick Santorum2%0%0%0%2%
Jon Huntsman1%2%0%3%1%
Another Republican candidate0%2%0%0%2%
Don't know9%7%14%16%13%

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