2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Herman Cain (October 2011)

2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Herman Cain (October 2011)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.

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categorycolumn-1
Herman Cain40%
Barack Obama35%
Someone else13%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Herman Cain3%31%72%
Barack Obama82%25%3%
Someone else6%18%16%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion9%26%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Herman Cain79%59%73%
Barack Obama2%4%3%
Someone else14%18%17%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%20%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Herman Cain4%9%0%
Barack Obama78%68%91%
Someone else14%9%1%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%14%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Herman Cain3%17%68%
Barack Obama85%45%8%
Someone else6%17%14%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%22%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Herman Cain50%77%75%
Barack Obama13%5%8%
Someone else14%15%11%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion23%3%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Herman Cain2%2%6%
Barack Obama90%81%80%
Someone else1%12%4%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%4%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Herman Cain3%75%31%
Barack Obama87%3%19%
Someone else3%15%45%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%6%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Herman Cain47%2%37%
Barack Obama26%84%33%
Someone else16%1%10%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%13%20%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Herman Cain52%30%
Barack Obama33%36%
Someone else8%17%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%17%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Herman Cain30%41%51%
Barack Obama47%35%20%
Someone else10%13%15%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%11%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Herman Cain32%41%36%47%44%41%
Barack Obama34%29%40%24%40%50%
Someone else7%15%12%19%8%7%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion27%16%11%9%8%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Herman Cain was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Herman Cain, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Herman Cain40%38%45%34%44%
Barack Obama38%39%33%47%25%
Someone else11%14%10%7%15%
haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%9%13%12%16%

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