2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Rick Perry (October 2011)

2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Rick Perry (October 2011)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.
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categorycolumn-1
Rick Perry44%
Barack Obama37%
Someone else10%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Rick Perry4%23%82%
Barack Obama86%31%4%
Someone else4%22%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%23%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Rick Perry79%77%85%
Barack Obama2%10%2%
Someone else17%9%8%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion2%4%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Rick Perry4%14%0%
Barack Obama79%70%96%
Someone else11%2%1%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%14%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Rick Perry4%21%73%
Barack Obama88%46%11%
Someone else5%13%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%19%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Rick Perry51%86%80%
Barack Obama21%5%8%
Someone else18%9%8%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%1%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Rick Perry2%4%6%
Barack Obama93%85%84%
Someone else1%9%3%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion3%2%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Rick Perry2%85%3%
Barack Obama92%3%34%
Someone else2%9%53%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion3%2%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Rick Perry53%1%41%
Barack Obama29%90%36%
Someone else12%1%10%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%8%13%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Rick Perry52%38%
Barack Obama36%38%
Someone else9%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Rick Perry33%43%60%
Barack Obama49%38%22%
Someone else10%12%9%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%8%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Rick Perry47%41%51%31%49%
Barack Obama39%43%33%50%27%
Someone else8%11%10%11%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%5%5%7%13%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Rick Perry was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Rick Perry, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Rick Perry37%49%40%53%41%36%
Barack Obama29%32%43%28%41%54%
Someone else7%11%10%12%12%7%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion27%9%7%7%6%4%

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