2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Ron Paul (October 2011)

2012 Presidential Election Match-Up: Obama vs. Ron Paul (October 2011)

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.
Loading chart...
categorycolumn-1
Ron Paul38%
Barack Obama33%
Someone else17%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
Loading chart...
categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Ron Paul6%35%64%
Barack Obama77%20%4%
Someone else5%20%25%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion12%25%7%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
Loading chart...
categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Ron Paul72%52%63%
Barack Obama0%10%4%
Someone else24%21%28%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%17%5%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
Loading chart...
categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Ron Paul13%6%4%
Barack Obama62%67%88%
Someone else10%10%1%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion15%17%8%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Ron Paul13%17%59%
Barack Obama77%40%10%
Someone else4%15%23%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%28%8%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Ron Paul44%67%64%
Barack Obama16%6%8%
Someone else22%25%21%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion18%1%8%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Ron Paul13%12%13%
Barack Obama83%70%78%
Someone else1%10%3%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion3%8%6%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
Loading chart...
categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Ron Paul6%64%49%
Barack Obama83%3%11%
Someone else2%27%37%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%6%3%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
Loading chart...
categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Ron Paul46%2%22%
Barack Obama24%80%33%
Someone else19%2%23%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%16%22%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
Loading chart...
categoryMaleFemale
Ron Paul46%30%
Barack Obama32%33%
Someone else15%19%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%17%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
Loading chart...
categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Ron Paul24%39%51%
Barack Obama45%34%16%
Someone else17%16%18%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion14%11%14%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
Loading chart...
categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Ron Paul37%36%28%38%43%
Barack Obama32%39%36%40%23%
Someone else18%15%19%14%19%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%9%17%7%16%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 2012 general election for U.S. president were held today and Ron Paul was the Republican nominee, would you vote for Barack Obama, Ron Paul, someone else, or haven't you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
Loading chart...
categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Ron Paul36%34%37%49%43%36%
Barack Obama34%26%39%25%37%48%
Someone else4%22%14%20%11%13%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion25%18%10%6%8%2%

Latest Poll News

June 2023 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll

The June 2023 University of Texas / Texas Politics Project poll included extensive questioning about the performance of state leaders during the 2023 Legislative session.
State on the Wrong Track

For only the second time in UT polling, but the second time in less than a year, a majority of Texas voters say that the state is on the wrong track.
Inflation on Texans' minds

More than half of Texans think the state is on the wrong track, while border security and immigration continue to loom large, especially among Texas Republicans.
June 2021 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll

The latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll has been released in full. Check out the latest poll page to explore results related to the 87th legislative session, the coronavirus pandemic, assessments of state leaders, and more.
March 2021 Texas Politics Project/UT Energy Institute Poll

The Texas Politics Project just released the results of a March poll developed in conjunction with a team of researchers at the UT Energy Institute that asked dozens of questions about Texans’ experience during the winter storm, their attitudes toward causes and consequences of the storm, their views of, and expectations about, possible policy responses, and their views of how a wide range of actors from their neighbors and utility providers to state political leaders, regulatory bodies, and corporate actors. 

Related Results