2014 GOP Lieutenant Governor Primary Vote Choice (October 2011)
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized.
*Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Race is calculated according to the RACE variable.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Location is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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More Respondents indicating that they would vote in the Republican primary were asked, "If the 2012 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The order of the response options were randomized. *Respondents were incorrectly asked about their primary vote for the 2012 primary for lieutenant governor, when they should have been asked about their vote intention for the 2014 Republican primary. This was corrected on the last day of interviewing, with no significant difference found between those asked their vote intention for 2012 versus 2014. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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