2016 General Election Match-Up: Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson (June 2016)

2016 General Election Match-Up: Clinton vs. Trump vs. Johnson (June 2016)

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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "

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categorycolumn-1
The Republican Donald Trump39%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton32%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson7%
Someone else14%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
The Republican Donald Trump5%40%71%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton74%17%3%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson3%14%7%
Someone else12%18%13%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%12%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
The Republican Donald Trump65%61%82%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton4%6%1%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson14%4%4%
Someone else13%18%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%12%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
The Republican Donald Trump10%9%0%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton60%67%86%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson6%4%2%
Someone else15%14%9%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%7%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
The Republican Donald Trump6%24%66%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton72%44%6%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson5%7%7%
Someone else15%12%16%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion2%14%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
The Republican Donald Trump44%73%75%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton10%3%7%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson17%4%5%
Someone else23%15%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%5%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
The Republican Donald Trump7%6%3%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton63%77%74%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson7%4%5%
Someone else20%10%18%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%3%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
The Republican Donald Trump4%81%63%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton77%4%5%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson3%4%13%
Someone else12%9%17%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%2%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
The Republican Donald Trump53%5%21%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton19%68%47%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson8%3%5%
Someone else14%14%16%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%11%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
The Republican Donald Trump44%36%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton30%34%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson9%5%
Someone else12%16%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Community is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
The Republican Donald Trump29%42%47%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton44%29%20%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson6%8%6%
Someone else13%13%18%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%7%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
The Republican Donald Trump27%26%45%56%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton29%38%31%30%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson13%9%6%1%
Someone else21%17%11%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%10%8%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: "
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
The Republican Donald Trump42%39%42%32%39%40%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton32%32%26%43%32%37%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson0%4%7%6%12%9%
Someone else20%12%18%10%11%12%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%12%8%8%6%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: " Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
The Republican Donald Trump42%39%39%32%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton30%30%33%43%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson6%5%11%11%
Someone else14%16%13%11%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion9%9%4%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "And who would you vote for if the candidates were: " Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
The Republican Donald Trump39%48%26%
The Democrat Hillary Clinton30%27%48%
The Libertarian Gary Johnson4%7%9%
Someone else17%13%13%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%6%4%

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