2018 Republican Commissioner of Agriculture Primary Vote Choice (February 2018)
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 54% |
| Trey Blocker | 26% |
| Jim Hogan | 20% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 56% | 45% | 55% |
| Trey Blocker | 23% | 36% | 24% |
| Jim Hogan | 20% | 18% | 21% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 41% | 57% | 59% |
| Trey Blocker | 31% | 28% | 20% |
| Jim Hogan | 28% | 15% | 21% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Republican | Tea Party |
|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 51% | 58% |
| Trey Blocker | 29% | 26% |
| Jim Hogan | 21% | 16% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 53% | 0% | 64% |
| Trey Blocker | 28% | 100% | 11% |
| Jim Hogan | 19% | 0% | 24% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 53% | 56% |
| Trey Blocker | 26% | 26% |
| Jim Hogan | 21% | 18% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 58% | 53% | 55% |
| Trey Blocker | 27% | 25% | 28% |
| Jim Hogan | 14% | 22% | 17% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 37% | 38% | 57% | 58% |
| Trey Blocker | 26% | 49% | 24% | 21% |
| Jim Hogan | 37% | 13% | 19% | 22% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | No high school | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 48% | 61% | 49% | 51% | 51% | 54% |
| Trey Blocker | 52% | 20% | 30% | 21% | 30% | 29% |
| Jim Hogan | 0% | 19% | 20% | 28% | 19% | 17% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 56% | 45% | 62% | 59% |
| Trey Blocker | 25% | 33% | 19% | 27% |
| Jim Hogan | 19% | 22% | 19% | 14% |
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Respondents were asked, "If the 2018 Republican primary election for commissioner of agriculture were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.Primary voters were identified based on their participation in a Texas primary election in 2012, 2014, or 2016. For Republican trial ballots, this includes 612 likely Republican primary voters. For Democratic trial ballots, this includes 453 likely Democratic primary voters.
| category | The Bible is the word of God, to be taken literally | The Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literally | The Bible is a book written by men |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sid Miller | 54% | 51% | 63% |
| Trey Blocker | 21% | 32% | 20% |
| Jim Hogan | 25% | 17% | 17% |
