2020 Presidential Primary Choice (June 2019)

2020 Presidential Primary Choice (June 2019)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"

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categoryTotal
Republican primary45%
Democratic primary40%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%
Don't know7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Republican primary4%24%85%
Democratic primary88%23%4%
Wouldn't vote in either primary5%27%6%
Don't know3%25%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Republican primary7%5%2%
Democratic primary74%85%96%
Wouldn't vote in either primary14%6%1%
Don't know5%3%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Republican primary72%78%97%
Democratic primary9%2%1%
Wouldn't vote in either primary11%9%1%
Don't know8%10%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Republican primary8%26%79%
Democratic primary84%46%9%
Wouldn't vote in either primary6%15%7%
Don't know3%13%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Republican primary11%5%9%
Democratic primary75%85%88%
Wouldn't vote in either primary7%9%1%
Don't know7%1%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Republican primary54%81%91%
Democratic primary23%6%5%
Wouldn't vote in either primary11%7%3%
Don't know12%6%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Republican primary57%18%28%
Democratic primary30%70%51%
Wouldn't vote in either primary7%8%13%
Don't know7%4%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Republican primary49%40%
Democratic primary35%45%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%8%
Don't know6%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Republican primary31%46%59%
Democratic primary49%41%28%
Wouldn't vote in either primary11%8%4%
Don't know8%5%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Republican primary33%37%46%58%
Democratic primary51%49%37%29%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%8%8%8%
Don't know8%6%8%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Republican primary36%43%47%48%42%51%
Democratic primary49%40%37%35%45%39%
Wouldn't vote in either primary5%12%7%12%6%6%
Don't know10%6%9%5%7%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Republican primary56%47%33%19%
Democratic primary31%37%49%65%
Wouldn't vote in either primary7%10%9%9%
Don't know6%6%8%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Republican primary60%50%21%
Democratic primary28%36%64%
Wouldn't vote in either primary6%8%9%
Don't know5%6%6%

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