2020 Presidential Primary Choice (October 2019)

2020 Presidential Primary Choice (October 2019)

  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
Loading chart...
categoryTotal
Republican primary39%
Democratic primary45%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%
Don't know7%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
Loading chart...
categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Republican primary3%21%78%
Democratic primary89%24%10%
Wouldn't vote in either primary5%34%5%
Don't know3%21%7%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
Loading chart...
categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Republican primary3%4%2%
Democratic primary80%87%95%
Wouldn't vote in either primary13%6%0%
Don't know4%3%2%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
Loading chart...
categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Republican primary57%78%89%
Democratic primary22%9%4%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%7%2%
Don't know13%6%4%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Republican primary8%21%66%
Democratic primary78%54%22%
Wouldn't vote in either primary10%14%5%
Don't know4%11%6%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Republican primary4%15%3%
Democratic primary74%76%85%
Wouldn't vote in either primary12%6%11%
Don't know10%3%0%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
Loading chart...
categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Republican primary43%72%72%
Democratic primary41%17%18%
Wouldn't vote in either primary7%5%5%
Don't know9%6%6%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
Loading chart...
categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Republican primary52%10%24%
Democratic primary34%76%54%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%7%11%
Don't know6%7%11%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
Loading chart...
categoryMaleFemale
Republican primary42%36%
Democratic primary42%48%
Wouldn't vote in either primary10%8%
Don't know6%8%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
Loading chart...
categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Republican primary25%40%57%
Democratic primary60%42%28%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%9%8%
Don't know6%8%7%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
Loading chart...
category18-2930-4445-6465+
Republican primary33%27%43%52%
Democratic primary51%51%43%37%
Wouldn't vote in either primary11%11%7%7%
Don't know5%11%8%3%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
Loading chart...
categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Republican primary21%43%45%34%38%32%
Democratic primary55%39%42%48%48%53%
Wouldn't vote in either primary21%9%9%9%7%5%
Don't know3%9%4%10%7%9%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
Loading chart...
categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Republican primary48%40%19%28%
Democratic primary38%43%60%57%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%10%9%9%
Don't know7%6%12%7%
  • Table |
  • Share
  • |
    More

    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
Loading chart...
categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Republican primary48%47%17%
Democratic primary38%38%67%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%8%10%
Don't know5%7%5%

Latest Poll News

June 2023 University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Poll

The June 2023 University of Texas / Texas Politics Project poll included extensive questioning about the performance of state leaders during the 2023 Legislative session.
State on the Wrong Track

For only the second time in UT polling, but the second time in less than a year, a majority of Texas voters say that the state is on the wrong track.
Inflation on Texans' minds

More than half of Texans think the state is on the wrong track, while border security and immigration continue to loom large, especially among Texas Republicans.
June 2021 University of Texas/Texas Tribune Poll

The latest University of Texas/Texas Tribune poll has been released in full. Check out the latest poll page to explore results related to the 87th legislative session, the coronavirus pandemic, assessments of state leaders, and more.
March 2021 Texas Politics Project/UT Energy Institute Poll

The Texas Politics Project just released the results of a March poll developed in conjunction with a team of researchers at the UT Energy Institute that asked dozens of questions about Texans’ experience during the winter storm, their attitudes toward causes and consequences of the storm, their views of, and expectations about, possible policy responses, and their views of how a wide range of actors from their neighbors and utility providers to state political leaders, regulatory bodies, and corporate actors. 

Related Results