2020 Presidential Primary Choice (October 2019)

2020 Presidential Primary Choice (October 2019)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
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categoryTotal
Republican primary39%
Democratic primary45%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%
Don't know7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Republican primary3%21%78%
Democratic primary89%24%10%
Wouldn't vote in either primary5%34%5%
Don't know3%21%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Republican primary3%4%2%
Democratic primary80%87%95%
Wouldn't vote in either primary13%6%0%
Don't know4%3%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Republican primary57%78%89%
Democratic primary22%9%4%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%7%2%
Don't know13%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Republican primary8%21%66%
Democratic primary78%54%22%
Wouldn't vote in either primary10%14%5%
Don't know4%11%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Republican primary4%15%3%
Democratic primary74%76%85%
Wouldn't vote in either primary12%6%11%
Don't know10%3%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Republican primary43%72%72%
Democratic primary41%17%18%
Wouldn't vote in either primary7%5%5%
Don't know9%6%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Republican primary52%10%24%
Democratic primary34%76%54%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%7%11%
Don't know6%7%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Republican primary42%36%
Democratic primary42%48%
Wouldn't vote in either primary10%8%
Don't know6%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Republican primary25%40%57%
Democratic primary60%42%28%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%9%8%
Don't know6%8%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Republican primary33%27%43%52%
Democratic primary51%51%43%37%
Wouldn't vote in either primary11%11%7%7%
Don't know5%11%8%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?"
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Republican primary21%43%45%34%38%32%
Democratic primary55%39%42%48%48%53%
Wouldn't vote in either primary21%9%9%9%7%5%
Don't know3%9%4%10%7%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Republican primary48%40%19%28%
Democratic primary38%43%60%57%
Wouldn't vote in either primary8%10%9%9%
Don't know7%6%12%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 202 primary elections for President were held today, would you vote in the Republican primary, the Democratic primary, or wouldn't you vote in either primary?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Republican primary48%47%17%
Democratic primary38%38%67%
Wouldn't vote in either primary9%8%10%
Don't know5%7%5%

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