Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (August 2021)

Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (August 2021)

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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?"
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categoryTotal
Very accurate37%
Somewhat accurate18%
Somewhat inaccurate14%
Very inaccurate25%
Don't know/No opinion5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Very accurate76%29%7%
Somewhat accurate15%19%20%
Somewhat inaccurate4%16%22%
Very inaccurate2%22%46%
Don't know/No opinion3%13%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Very accurate81%61%78%
Somewhat accurate12%22%14%
Somewhat inaccurate4%9%3%
Very inaccurate0%6%1%
Don't know/No opinion3%2%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Very accurate10%11%4%
Somewhat accurate23%28%14%
Somewhat inaccurate21%24%23%
Very inaccurate43%31%55%
Don't know/No opinion4%5%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Very accurate74%46%8%
Somewhat accurate16%19%18%
Somewhat inaccurate3%14%21%
Very inaccurate3%10%47%
Don't know/No opinion3%10%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Very accurate65%77%79%
Somewhat accurate22%14%14%
Somewhat inaccurate4%4%3%
Very inaccurate7%1%3%
Don't know/No opinion2%5%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Very accurate18%6%5%
Somewhat accurate22%20%15%
Somewhat inaccurate16%26%19%
Very inaccurate38%41%59%
Don't know/No opinion7%7%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Very accurate32%62%37%
Somewhat accurate15%22%25%
Somewhat inaccurate17%4%16%
Very inaccurate32%5%17%
Don't know/No opinion4%8%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Very accurate36%38%
Somewhat accurate18%18%
Somewhat inaccurate17%12%
Very inaccurate24%26%
Don't know/No opinion4%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Very accurate47%36%24%
Somewhat accurate17%20%14%
Somewhat inaccurate13%14%17%
Very inaccurate15%25%41%
Don't know/No opinion7%5%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Very accurate40%41%35%34%
Somewhat accurate28%19%16%13%
Somewhat inaccurate12%15%13%16%
Very inaccurate14%16%31%34%
Don't know/No opinion5%8%6%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Very accurate23%34%29%37%41%54%
Somewhat accurate17%19%19%16%19%14%
Somewhat inaccurate14%16%14%24%10%13%
Very inaccurate34%25%30%21%26%17%
Don't know/No opinion11%6%8%3%5%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Very accurate29%31%43%57%
Somewhat accurate17%20%25%13%
Somewhat inaccurate14%21%11%8%
Very inaccurate36%20%19%16%
Don't know/No opinion4%8%2%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Very accurate26%31%62%18%
Somewhat accurate15%23%13%19%
Somewhat inaccurate17%17%8%12%
Very inaccurate38%24%14%29%
Don't know/No opinion4%5%2%22%

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