Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (February 2021)

Accuracy of Official U.S. Election Results (February 2021)

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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?"
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categoryTotal
Very accurate36%
Somewhat accurate16%
Somewhat inaccurate13%
Very inaccurate30%
Don't know/No opinion6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Very accurate73%21%8%
Somewhat accurate16%17%15%
Somewhat inaccurate2%16%21%
Very inaccurate4%31%52%
Don't know/No opinion5%14%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Very accurate73%58%80%
Somewhat accurate13%22%14%
Somewhat inaccurate3%3%2%
Very inaccurate1%13%1%
Don't know/No opinion10%4%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Very accurate11%11%6%
Somewhat accurate11%27%12%
Somewhat inaccurate24%19%20%
Very inaccurate52%38%59%
Don't know/No opinion3%5%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Very accurate70%39%11%
Somewhat accurate19%17%13%
Somewhat inaccurate2%11%21%
Very inaccurate4%22%51%
Don't know/No opinion4%10%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Very accurate63%77%69%
Somewhat accurate24%14%21%
Somewhat inaccurate4%1%3%
Very inaccurate5%2%7%
Don't know/No opinion5%5%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Very accurate25%5%11%
Somewhat accurate18%14%10%
Somewhat inaccurate22%27%15%
Very inaccurate31%52%59%
Don't know/No opinion4%2%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Very accurate32%54%37%
Somewhat accurate15%19%14%
Somewhat inaccurate16%6%11%
Very inaccurate34%9%29%
Don't know/No opinion3%11%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Very accurate34%39%
Somewhat accurate18%14%
Somewhat inaccurate15%11%
Very inaccurate30%29%
Don't know/No opinion4%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Very accurate43%37%22%
Somewhat accurate16%17%11%
Somewhat inaccurate12%13%13%
Very inaccurate20%30%46%
Don't know/No opinion8%3%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Very accurate29%39%40%35%
Somewhat accurate25%18%13%9%
Somewhat inaccurate14%14%9%17%
Very inaccurate23%23%33%38%
Don't know/No opinion10%7%5%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Very accurate60%31%32%32%41%48%
Somewhat accurate18%15%13%17%18%17%
Somewhat inaccurate2%12%15%10%15%10%
Very inaccurate16%32%33%38%24%25%
Don't know/No opinion4%11%8%3%1%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Very accurate31%32%47%48%
Somewhat accurate12%20%17%18%
Somewhat inaccurate14%15%14%6%
Very inaccurate39%27%15%23%
Don't know/No opinion5%6%7%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Overall, how accurate do you think official election results are in the U.S.?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Very accurate24%33%60%21%
Somewhat accurate15%15%18%14%
Somewhat inaccurate16%14%7%11%
Very inaccurate41%33%12%28%
Don't know/No opinion4%4%3%27%

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