Confidence that Americans will trust the result of the election (August 2024)

Confidence that Americans will trust the result of the election (August 2024)

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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?"
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categoryTotal
Very confident15%
Somewhat confident39%
Not very confident26%
Not at all confident12%
Don't know/No opinion8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Very confident26%7%7%
Somewhat confident46%36%33%
Not very confident17%22%34%
Not at all confident5%21%17%
Don't know/No opinion6%14%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Very confident17%22%32%
Somewhat confident44%49%46%
Not very confident28%12%13%
Not at all confident5%11%3%
Don't know/No opinion5%5%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Very confident4%8%8%
Somewhat confident24%35%36%
Not very confident34%38%32%
Not at all confident30%12%14%
Don't know/No opinion9%7%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Very confident22%15%11%
Somewhat confident48%43%30%
Not very confident20%19%34%
Not at all confident6%11%17%
Don't know/No opinion5%12%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Very confident20%17%29%
Somewhat confident42%51%48%
Not very confident33%20%9%
Not at all confident3%7%6%
Don't know/No opinion1%6%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Very confident13%8%13%
Somewhat confident30%38%20%
Not very confident31%34%38%
Not at all confident19%13%20%
Don't know/No opinion7%7%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Very confident12%27%18%
Somewhat confident37%43%38%
Not very confident31%15%21%
Not at all confident13%6%13%
Don't know/No opinion7%8%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Very confident17%13%
Somewhat confident39%38%
Not very confident24%28%
Not at all confident14%10%
Don't know/No opinion6%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Very confident22%12%10%
Somewhat confident41%37%37%
Not very confident18%30%30%
Not at all confident10%13%12%
Don't know/No opinion9%7%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Very confident20%17%15%10%
Somewhat confident44%41%32%42%
Not very confident23%21%29%29%
Not at all confident6%12%16%11%
Don't know/No opinion7%9%8%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Very confident10%15%13%15%15%21%
Somewhat confident29%40%37%38%40%37%
Not very confident24%24%27%29%24%30%
Not at all confident20%10%12%11%14%11%
Don't know/No opinion17%10%10%7%7%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Very confident22%9%14%15%
Somewhat confident32%44%40%41%
Not very confident24%29%25%24%
Not at all confident14%10%11%12%
Don't know/No opinion8%9%9%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Generally speaking, are you confident that Americans will trust the result of the presidential election?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Very confident20%15%11%12%
Somewhat confident36%39%46%29%
Not very confident24%28%24%30%
Not at all confident14%10%12%16%
Don't know/No opinion7%8%8%13%

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