Democratic Presidential Primary Second Choice (February 2020)

Democratic Presidential Primary Second Choice (February 2020)

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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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categoryTotal
Elizabeth Warren23%
Bernie Sanders16%
Joseph R. Biden11%
Michael R. Bloomberg11%
Amy Klobuchar8%
Pete Buttigieg7%
Andrew Yang4%
Julián Castro3%
Tom Steyer2%
Tulsi Gabbard1%
Kamala Harris1%
Cory Booker1%
Michael Bennet1%
Don't know8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Elizabeth Warren25%6%6%
Bernie Sanders16%18%15%
Joseph R. Biden12%10%10%
Michael R. Bloomberg12%9%9%
Amy Klobuchar7%23%11%
Pete Buttigieg6%7%12%
Andrew Yang4%2%8%
Julián Castro3%0%3%
Tom Steyer3%0%0%
Tulsi Gabbard1%0%9%
Kamala Harris1%0%0%
Cory Booker1%0%0%
Michael Bennet1%0%3%
Don't know7%25%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Elizabeth Warren27%29%23%
Bernie Sanders14%16%17%
Joseph R. Biden12%10%12%
Michael R. Bloomberg10%8%14%
Amy Klobuchar7%2%9%
Pete Buttigieg9%8%5%
Andrew Yang6%5%3%
Julián Castro1%4%4%
Tom Steyer5%1%2%
Tulsi Gabbard2%2%1%
Kamala Harris1%1%2%
Cory Booker1%1%2%
Michael Bennet0%0%1%
Don't know5%14%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Elizabeth Warren28%18%12%
Bernie Sanders17%14%13%
Joseph R. Biden10%14%12%
Michael R. Bloomberg8%14%20%
Amy Klobuchar8%8%8%
Pete Buttigieg8%4%6%
Andrew Yang4%5%4%
Julián Castro3%3%4%
Tom Steyer2%2%1%
Tulsi Gabbard1%1%5%
Kamala Harris1%1%4%
Cory Booker1%1%1%
Michael Bennet1%0%4%
Don't know7%13%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Elizabeth Warren13%28%39%
Bernie Sanders8%15%25%
Joseph R. Biden12%13%4%
Michael R. Bloomberg14%7%5%
Amy Klobuchar9%10%6%
Pete Buttigieg15%9%2%
Andrew Yang4%4%3%
Julián Castro6%0%4%
Tom Steyer2%3%2%
Tulsi Gabbard1%1%1%
Kamala Harris2%1%0%
Cory Booker3%0%1%
Michael Bennet0%1%0%
Don't know9%6%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Elizabeth Warren25%22%21%
Bernie Sanders16%20%11%
Joseph R. Biden11%8%15%
Michael R. Bloomberg7%19%15%
Amy Klobuchar11%2%5%
Pete Buttigieg10%3%4%
Andrew Yang3%2%7%
Julián Castro1%6%4%
Tom Steyer2%1%3%
Tulsi Gabbard2%0%0%
Kamala Harris1%3%0%
Cory Booker0%3%1%
Michael Bennet1%1%1%
Don't know8%8%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryMaleFemale
Elizabeth Warren24%23%
Bernie Sanders16%15%
Joseph R. Biden9%13%
Michael R. Bloomberg14%9%
Amy Klobuchar8%8%
Pete Buttigieg7%6%
Andrew Yang4%4%
Julián Castro4%2%
Tom Steyer2%2%
Tulsi Gabbard2%1%
Kamala Harris1%1%
Cory Booker1%1%
Michael Bennet0%1%
Don't know6%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Elizabeth Warren21%26%20%
Bernie Sanders16%15%20%
Joseph R. Biden11%12%9%
Michael R. Bloomberg12%10%15%
Amy Klobuchar8%9%6%
Pete Buttigieg8%6%5%
Andrew Yang4%4%5%
Julián Castro4%2%2%
Tom Steyer3%3%0%
Tulsi Gabbard1%2%0%
Kamala Harris1%1%2%
Cory Booker1%2%0%
Michael Bennet1%0%2%
Don't know8%8%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Elizabeth Warren34%22%17%25%
Bernie Sanders17%15%18%10%
Joseph R. Biden8%11%14%12%
Michael R. Bloomberg7%7%12%24%
Amy Klobuchar2%5%13%12%
Pete Buttigieg6%11%5%2%
Andrew Yang6%7%1%3%
Julián Castro3%5%2%0%
Tom Steyer0%4%3%1%
Tulsi Gabbard1%2%2%0%
Kamala Harris0%1%3%0%
Cory Booker1%0%2%2%
Michael Bennet0%1%1%2%
Don't know14%7%7%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Elizabeth Warren7%26%25%16%27%16%
Bernie Sanders18%16%15%18%19%10%
Joseph R. Biden28%4%13%16%11%18%
Michael R. Bloomberg0%17%12%13%7%9%
Amy Klobuchar0%4%7%7%9%17%
Pete Buttigieg0%4%7%4%9%9%
Andrew Yang0%5%4%14%1%4%
Julián Castro0%5%3%1%2%1%
Tom Steyer11%3%1%0%2%3%
Tulsi Gabbard0%0%3%0%2%1%
Kamala Harris0%2%1%2%1%1%
Cory Booker0%0%1%2%2%1%
Michael Bennet15%0%0%0%1%2%
Don't know21%13%9%7%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Elizabeth Warren18%21%18%35%
Bernie Sanders18%11%21%13%
Joseph R. Biden11%10%21%8%
Michael R. Bloomberg19%9%6%8%
Amy Klobuchar9%7%7%9%
Pete Buttigieg5%8%5%8%
Andrew Yang2%5%7%4%
Julián Castro2%6%1%2%
Tom Steyer3%1%3%2%
Tulsi Gabbard2%0%0%3%
Kamala Harris2%1%2%0%
Cory Booker1%3%0%0%
Michael Bennet1%2%1%0%
Don't know7%14%6%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Elizabeth Warren15%17%32%21%
Bernie Sanders21%15%16%1%
Joseph R. Biden9%12%13%7%
Michael R. Bloomberg20%13%6%12%
Amy Klobuchar5%9%8%11%
Pete Buttigieg6%7%7%2%
Andrew Yang1%3%4%25%
Julián Castro2%5%1%3%
Tom Steyer1%3%2%0%
Tulsi Gabbard0%1%2%6%
Kamala Harris2%2%0%0%
Cory Booker4%1%0%0%
Michael Bennet2%1%0%0%
Roque De La Fuente0%0%0%1%
John K. Delaney0%1%0%0%
Deval Patrick0%1%0%0%
Marianne Williamson0%0%1%0%
Don't know11%9%6%11%

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