Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (February 2020)

Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (February 2020)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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categoryTotal
Bernie Sanders24%
Joseph R. Biden22%
Elizabeth Warren15%
Michael R. Bloomberg10%
Pete Buttigieg7%
Andrew Yang6%
Amy Klobuchar3%
Tom Steyer3%
Tulsi Gabbard2%
Michael Bennet1%
Kamala Harris1%
Roque De La Fuente1%
Julián Castro1%
Cory Booker1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Bernie Sanders26%3%7%
Joseph R. Biden22%24%20%
Elizabeth Warren18%0%3%
Michael R. Bloomberg10%19%2%
Pete Buttigieg6%9%10%
Andrew Yang5%18%16%
Amy Klobuchar3%3%5%
Tom Steyer2%12%0%
Tulsi Gabbard1%6%16%
Michael Bennet1%0%0%
Kamala Harris1%0%0%
Roque De La Fuente1%0%0%
Julián Castro1%2%3%
Cory Booker1%0%0%
Someone else2%3%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Bernie Sanders32%32%19%
Joseph R. Biden17%21%26%
Elizabeth Warren12%14%23%
Michael R. Bloomberg12%10%10%
Pete Buttigieg11%4%4%
Andrew Yang7%2%4%
Amy Klobuchar3%2%3%
Tom Steyer0%0%4%
Tulsi Gabbard2%1%1%
Michael Bennet1%2%0%
Kamala Harris0%4%1%
Roque De La Fuente2%1%0%
Julián Castro0%2%0%
Cory Booker1%1%1%
Someone else0%2%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Bernie Sanders31%12%17%
Joseph R. Biden20%27%20%
Elizabeth Warren22%7%3%
Michael R. Bloomberg7%16%10%
Pete Buttigieg6%8%5%
Andrew Yang6%7%7%
Amy Klobuchar3%2%3%
Tom Steyer1%3%11%
Tulsi Gabbard1%5%5%
Michael Bennet0%1%4%
Kamala Harris0%2%3%
Roque De La Fuente1%0%0%
Julián Castro0%2%0%
Cory Booker0%2%0%
Someone else1%4%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Bernie Sanders25%23%45%
Joseph R. Biden25%23%11%
Elizabeth Warren12%23%30%
Michael R. Bloomberg6%9%5%
Pete Buttigieg5%11%1%
Andrew Yang12%4%3%
Amy Klobuchar5%4%1%
Tom Steyer1%1%0%
Tulsi Gabbard1%0%2%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Roque De La Fuente4%0%0%
Julián Castro0%1%0%
Cory Booker0%0%1%
Someone else4%0%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Race is calculated according to the race variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Bernie Sanders24%12%31%
Joseph R. Biden18%34%24%
Elizabeth Warren20%12%9%
Michael R. Bloomberg10%8%10%
Pete Buttigieg10%1%6%
Andrew Yang7%7%4%
Amy Klobuchar4%1%2%
Tom Steyer1%7%3%
Tulsi Gabbard3%3%1%
Michael Bennet1%2%1%
Kamala Harris0%3%1%
Roque De La Fuente1%0%1%
Julián Castro0%0%2%
Cory Booker0%4%1%
Someone else1%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryMaleFemale
Bernie Sanders23%24%
Joseph R. Biden20%24%
Elizabeth Warren14%16%
Michael R. Bloomberg8%12%
Pete Buttigieg7%6%
Andrew Yang9%4%
Amy Klobuchar3%3%
Tom Steyer4%2%
Tulsi Gabbard3%2%
Michael Bennet1%0%
Kamala Harris0%2%
Roque De La Fuente1%0%
Julián Castro1%0%
Cory Booker0%1%
Someone else4%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?" Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Bernie Sanders27%22%20%
Joseph R. Biden17%25%24%
Elizabeth Warren16%17%7%
Michael R. Bloomberg9%11%10%
Pete Buttigieg6%7%7%
Andrew Yang4%6%12%
Amy Klobuchar2%3%5%
Tom Steyer5%1%2%
Tulsi Gabbard2%2%5%
Michael Bennet0%1%0%
Kamala Harris1%1%0%
Roque De La Fuente2%0%0%
Julián Castro1%1%1%
Cory Booker1%0%2%
Someone else5%2%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Bernie Sanders37%29%16%9%
Joseph R. Biden9%16%28%41%
Elizabeth Warren13%15%18%13%
Michael R. Bloomberg2%8%15%15%
Pete Buttigieg9%8%5%3%
Andrew Yang13%7%2%1%
Amy Klobuchar3%1%4%5%
Tom Steyer6%0%2%6%
Tulsi Gabbard0%4%3%2%
Michael Bennet0%2%1%0%
Kamala Harris2%2%0%0%
Roque De La Fuente1%1%0%0%
Julián Castro2%1%0%0%
Cory Booker0%2%1%0%
Someone else3%2%4%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Bernie Sanders12%23%26%30%25%14%
Joseph R. Biden7%30%21%20%17%23%
Elizabeth Warren9%9%12%19%21%20%
Michael R. Bloomberg31%7%10%11%10%12%
Pete Buttigieg12%6%5%6%6%11%
Andrew Yang0%7%8%2%6%3%
Amy Klobuchar0%1%3%0%3%6%
Tom Steyer0%8%3%1%0%1%
Tulsi Gabbard0%1%1%5%3%6%
Michael Bennet0%1%0%3%1%1%
Kamala Harris0%3%0%0%1%0%
Roque De La Fuente0%1%0%1%1%0%
Julián Castro0%0%1%0%1%0%
Cory Booker13%1%1%0%0%0%
Someone else16%3%6%1%1%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Bernie Sanders10%21%31%35%
Joseph R. Biden35%30%7%11%
Elizabeth Warren14%9%22%18%
Michael R. Bloomberg11%12%12%7%
Pete Buttigieg3%5%7%11%
Andrew Yang2%11%7%6%
Amy Klobuchar2%1%6%3%
Tom Steyer7%1%1%0%
Tulsi Gabbard4%2%1%2%
Michael Bennet1%2%1%0%
Kamala Harris3%0%0%0%
Roque De La Fuente0%2%0%0%
Julián Castro0%1%2%0%
Cory Booker1%1%1%0%
Someone else5%0%1%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? Respondents who said that they hadn’t thought about it enough to have an opinion were asked, “If you had to make a choice, who would you choose?” Results to the first question (Q20A) combined the follow-up (Q20B) are presented in this graphic." Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable. Results are presented for those respondents who said that they intend to vote in the 2020 Democratic Primary Election in item Q3B (n=575 potential Democratic Primary voters for the trial ballot, and n=557 potential Democratic Primary voters for the vote certainty and second choice items).
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Bernie Sanders12%17%33%29%
Joseph R. Biden34%28%14%18%
Elizabeth Warren12%12%20%11%
Michael R. Bloomberg14%11%8%8%
Pete Buttigieg1%5%11%5%
Andrew Yang0%12%5%2%
Amy Klobuchar1%3%4%3%
Tom Steyer8%3%0%2%
Tulsi Gabbard3%2%2%3%
Michael Bennet1%2%0%0%
Kamala Harris2%1%1%0%
Roque De La Fuente2%1%0%0%
Julián Castro1%1%0%0%
Cory Booker1%0%0%7%
Someone else5%3%2%7%

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