Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice: First Choice (November 2015)

Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice: First Choice (November 2015)

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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?"
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categorycolumn-1
Hillary Clinton61%
Bernie Sanders30%
Martin O'Malley1%
Lawrence Lessig0%
Don't know7%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Hillary Clinton63%37%60%
Bernie Sanders29%37%9%
Martin O'Malley1%3%9%
Lawrence Lessig0%0%0%
Don't know6%23%23%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Hillary Clinton39%66%71%
Bernie Sanders60%18%24%
Martin O'Malley0%0%1%
Lawrence Lessig1%1%0%
Don't know0%15%4%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Hillary Clinton54%71%60%
Bernie Sanders40%22%19%
Martin O'Malley1%1%1%
Lawrence Lessig0%1%0%
Don't know5%6%20%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Hillary Clinton63%53%49%
Bernie Sanders28%38%50%
Martin O'Malley3%1%0%
Lawrence Lessig2%0%0%
Don't know4%8%1%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Hillary Clinton52%73%65%
Bernie Sanders43%14%26%
Martin O'Malley1%2%1%
Lawrence Lessig1%0%0%
Don't know3%11%9%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Hillary Clinton59%63%
Bernie Sanders37%24%
Martin O'Malley1%1%
Lawrence Lessig1%0%
Don't know2%11%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Hillary Clinton44%58%71%68%
Bernie Sanders47%33%23%17%
Martin O'Malley2%1%0%3%
Lawrence Lessig1%1%0%0%
Don't know6%8%6%11%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Hillary Clinton69%73%56%58%57%50%
Bernie Sanders26%17%36%37%31%41%
Martin O'Malley0%1%1%1%0%4%
Lawrence Lessig0%0%0%0%2%0%
Don't know5%9%7%4%10%5%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Democratic Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Democratic primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Community is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Hillary Clinton65%57%71%
Bernie Sanders23%36%24%
Martin O'Malley1%1%0%
Lawrence Lessig1%0%0%
Don't know10%6%4%

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