Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (September 2019)

Democratic Presidential Primary Vote Choice (September 2019)

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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?"
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Candidate
Joe Biden26%
Elizabeth Warren18%
Beto O'Rourke14%
Bernie Sanders12%
Kamala Harris5%
Pete Buttigieg4%
Andrew Yang3%
Julian Castro3%
Tulsi Gabbard2%
Cory Booker1%
Amy Klobuchar1%
Tim Ryan1%
Marianne Williamson1%
Michael Bennet0%
Steve Bullock0%
Wayne Messam0%
Tom Steyer0%
Steve Bullock0%
Tom Steyer0%
Joe Sestak0%
Bill de Blasio0%
Wayne Messam0%
John Delaney0%
Michael Bennet0%
Someone else0%
Anyone/Any of them1%
No one/None of them1%
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categoryDemocratIndependent
Joe Biden26%35%
Elizabeth Warren19%7%
Beto O'Rourke15%13%
Bernie Sanders13%4%
Kamala Harris5%0%
Pete Buttigieg4%12%
Andrew Yang3%0%
Julian Castro3%0%
Tulsi Gabbard0%19%
Cory Booker1%0%
Amy Klobuchar1%0%
Tim Ryan1%0%
Marianne Williamson1%5%
Michael Bennet0%0%
Steve Bullock1%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%
John Delaney0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%
Someone else0%0%
Anyone/Any of them1%0%
No one/None of them0%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Joe Biden18%28%27%
Elizabeth Warren24%11%21%
Beto O'Rourke9%21%14%
Bernie Sanders20%11%11%
Kamala Harris5%4%6%
Pete Buttigieg3%2%5%
Andrew Yang8%2%1%
Julian Castro4%3%3%
Tulsi Gabbard1%0%0%
Cory Booker0%1%1%
Amy Klobuchar2%0%1%
Tim Ryan2%1%0%
Marianne Williamson0%0%2%
Steve Bullock0%2%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
Anyone/Any of them1%0%2%
No one/None of them0%2%0%
Don't know/No opinion2%12%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Joe Biden19%34%36%
Elizabeth Warren26%7%13%
Beto O'Rourke11%20%19%
Bernie Sanders17%6%6%
Kamala Harris6%5%2%
Pete Buttigieg6%3%0%
Andrew Yang2%5%0%
Julian Castro3%3%4%
Tulsi Gabbard1%3%0%
Cory Booker1%1%0%
Amy Klobuchar2%0%0%
Tim Ryan0%1%3%
Marianne Williamson1%1%2%
Michael Bennet0%0%2%
Steve Bullock1%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
Anyone/Any of them2%0%1%
No one/None of them0%1%2%
Don't know/No opinion3%10%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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Lean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Joe Biden30%18%12%
Elizabeth Warren22%26%30%
Beto O'Rourke7%15%9%
Bernie Sanders7%18%25%
Kamala Harris11%2%6%
Pete Buttigieg4%8%5%
Andrew Yang3%2%0%
Julian Castro3%1%6%
Tulsi Gabbard4%0%1%
Cory Booker1%1%0%
Amy Klobuchar2%1%2%
Marianne Williamson1%2%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Steve Bullock0%0%2%
Wayne Messam0%1%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Someone else0%1%0%
Anyone/Any of them2%1%3%
No one/None of them0%0%0%
Don't know/No opinion2%5%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Joe Biden21%39%25%
Elizabeth Warren22%6%19%
Beto O'Rourke11%18%19%
Bernie Sanders15%6%14%
Kamala Harris3%13%3%
Pete Buttigieg8%1%4%
Andrew Yang1%1%0%
Julian Castro3%0%7%
Tulsi Gabbard4%0%1%
Cory Booker1%2%0%
Amy Klobuchar2%0%0%
Tim Ryan1%0%1%
Marianne Williamson2%1%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Steve Bullock0%2%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%1%
Anyone/Any of them1%2%1%
No one/None of them0%2%0%
Don't know/No opinion5%8%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Joe Biden25%27%
Elizabeth Warren19%16%
Beto O'Rourke19%16%
Bernie Sanders14%11%
Kamala Harris6%4%
Pete Buttigieg4%5%
Andrew Yang5%1%
Julian Castro3%3%
Tulsi Gabbard3%1%
Cory Booker0%1%
Amy Klobuchar1%1%
Tim Ryan1%1%
Marianne Williamson1%1%
Michael Bennet0%0%
Steve Bullock0%1%
Wayne Messam0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%
John Delaney0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%
Someone else0%0%
Anyone/Any of them1%2%
No one/None of them0%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Joe Biden28%33%36%14%22%23%
Elizabeth Warren19%18%16%12%25%20%
Beto O'Rourke13%22%15%17%13%6%
Bernie Sanders16%11%13%19%14%8%
Kamala Harris7%2%1%8%7%11%
Pete Buttigieg9%0%4%4%8%6%
Andrew Yang0%4%1%2%3%2%
Julian Castro6%6%2%1%2%3%
Tulsi Gabbard0%0%3%11%1%0%
Cory Booker5%0%0%0%1%2%
Amy Klobuchar0%0%0%0%2%2%
Tim Ryan0%2%0%0%1%0%
Marianne Williamson0%0%0%0%2%5%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%2%0%0%
Steve Bullock0%0%0%0%0%2%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%0%0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%0%1%0%
Anyone/Any of them0%1%2%3%1%1%
No one/None of them0%0%0%0%0%3%
Don't know/No opinion3%7%8%8%1%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Which of the following candidates couldn’t you support in the 2020 presidential election against Donald Trump if they were to win the Democratic nomination for president?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Joe Biden14%12%36%40%
Elizabeth Warren14%16%22%21%
Beto O'Rourke23%18%6%15%
Bernie Sanders32%12%5%5%
Kamala Harris2%5%9%2%
Pete Buttigieg4%9%3%0%
Andrew Yang5%4%1%1%
Julian Castro1%5%3%3%
Tulsi Gabbard0%4%1%2%
Cory Booker0%2%0%1%
Amy Klobuchar0%1%2%0%
Tim Ryan0%1%0%2%
Marianne Williamson2%2%2%0%
Michael Bennet0%1%0%0%
Steve Bullock0%2%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%1%0%0%
Tom Steyer0%0%0%0%
Joe Sestak0%0%0%0%
Bill de Blasio0%0%0%0%
Wayne Messam0%0%0%0%
John Delaney0%0%0%0%
Michael Bennet0%0%0%0%
Someone else1%0%0%0%
Anyone/Any of them0%1%2%3%
No one/None of them0%2%0%1%
Don't know/No opinion4%3%8%7%

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