Does Donald Trump’s conviction make you more or less likely to support him in the 2024 presidential election? (June 2024)
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| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Much more likely | 27% |
| Somewhat more likely | 9% |
| No impact on support | 32% |
| Somewhat less likely | 3% |
| Much less likely | 24% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 4% |
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| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 5% | 22% | 50% |
| Somewhat more likely | 8% | 5% | 12% |
| No impact on support | 33% | 34% | 30% |
| Somewhat less likely | 4% | 3% | 3% |
| Much less likely | 47% | 25% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 4% | 11% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 3% | 3% | 6% |
| Somewhat more likely | 3% | 14% | 6% |
| No impact on support | 38% | 32% | 33% |
| Somewhat less likely | 5% | 3% | 3% |
| Much less likely | 51% | 41% | 49% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 1% | 8% | 3% |
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| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 46% | 30% | 62% |
| Somewhat more likely | 9% | 16% | 11% |
| No impact on support | 33% | 38% | 24% |
| Somewhat less likely | 2% | 5% | 3% |
| Much less likely | 6% | 8% | 1% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 4% | 2% | 1% |
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| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 6% | 16% | 49% |
| Somewhat more likely | 7% | 9% | 11% |
| No impact on support | 39% | 30% | 28% |
| Somewhat less likely | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Much less likely | 40% | 35% | 6% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 3% | 9% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 8% | 5% | 6% |
| Somewhat more likely | 11% | 6% | 5% |
| No impact on support | 39% | 38% | 42% |
| Somewhat less likely | 4% | 6% | 2% |
| Much less likely | 35% | 40% | 44% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 3% | 5% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 30% | 47% | 63% |
| Somewhat more likely | 9% | 16% | 6% |
| No impact on support | 35% | 29% | 23% |
| Somewhat less likely | 7% | 3% | 2% |
| Much less likely | 14% | 4% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 4% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 33% | 7% | 24% |
| Somewhat more likely | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| No impact on support | 36% | 32% | 23% |
| Somewhat less likely | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| Much less likely | 16% | 37% | 34% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 3% | 6% | 7% |
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| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 31% | 24% |
| Somewhat more likely | 10% | 9% |
| No impact on support | 31% | 33% |
| Somewhat less likely | 3% | 4% |
| Much less likely | 22% | 26% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 3% | 5% |
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| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 22% | 27% | 39% |
| Somewhat more likely | 13% | 8% | 5% |
| No impact on support | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Somewhat less likely | 4% | 3% | 2% |
| Much less likely | 26% | 26% | 16% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 6% | 3% | 6% |
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| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 11% | 22% | 30% | 40% |
| Somewhat more likely | 15% | 15% | 6% | 3% |
| No impact on support | 36% | 34% | 34% | 25% |
| Somewhat less likely | 8% | 4% | 2% | 2% |
| Much less likely | 23% | 19% | 25% | 28% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 7% | 6% | 3% | 2% |
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| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 33% | 32% | 27% | 26% | 24% | 24% |
| Somewhat more likely | 2% | 12% | 5% | 9% | 10% | 12% |
| No impact on support | 29% | 26% | 35% | 28% | 36% | 36% |
| Somewhat less likely | 0% | 2% | 5% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
| Much less likely | 28% | 24% | 26% | 25% | 23% | 21% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 8% | 5% | 2% | 8% | 4% | 3% |
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| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 37% | 23% | 18% | 19% |
| Somewhat more likely | 9% | 13% | 7% | 3% |
| No impact on support | 26% | 31% | 38% | 43% |
| Somewhat less likely | 5% | 2% | 3% | 1% |
| Much less likely | 18% | 26% | 30% | 29% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 4% | 4% | 3% | 5% |
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| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Much more likely | 38% | 28% | 15% | 14% |
| Somewhat more likely | 13% | 10% | 4% | 6% |
| No impact on support | 24% | 33% | 40% | 37% |
| Somewhat less likely | 4% | 4% | 2% | 4% |
| Much less likely | 17% | 23% | 36% | 25% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 6% | 2% | 4% | 14% |
