Future Economic Expectations (October 2012)
- Table |
- Share
- | More
Respondents were asked, " Thinking about the condition of the national economy, do you think the worst is over or is the worst yet to come?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
| category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 57% | 22% | 11% |
| Worst is yet to come | 17% | 37% | 64% |
| Don't know | 26% | 41% | 25% |
| category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 10% | 14% | 9% |
| Worst is yet to come | 64% | 62% | 65% |
| Don't know | 26% | 23% | 26% |
| category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 46% | 42% | 68% |
| Worst is yet to come | 23% | 26% | 11% |
| Don't know | 31% | 33% | 21% |
- Table |
- Share
- | More
Respondents were asked, " Thinking about the condition of the national economy, do you think the worst is over or is the worst yet to come?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
| category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 67% | 28% | 16% |
| Worst is yet to come | 12% | 41% | 58% |
| Don't know | 21% | 31% | 26% |
- Table |
- Share
- | More
Respondents were asked, " Thinking about the condition of the national economy, do you think the worst is over or is the worst yet to come?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
| category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 13% | 17% | 22% |
| Worst is yet to come | 45% | 64% | 67% |
| Don't know | 42% | 19% | 11% |
- Table |
- Share
- | More
Respondents were asked, " Thinking about the condition of the national economy, do you think the worst is over or is the worst yet to come?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
| category | Leaning liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 58% | 77% | 70% |
| Worst is yet to come | 14% | 8% | 18% |
| Don't know | 28% | 15% | 12% |
- Table |
- Share
- | More
Respondents were asked, " Thinking about the condition of the national economy, do you think the worst is over or is the worst yet to come?" Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
| category | Democrat | Republican | Tea Party |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 62% | 16% | 7% |
| Worst is yet to come | 14% | 52% | 75% |
| Don't know | 24% | 32% | 17% |
| category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 21% | 58% | 41% |
| Worst is yet to come | 51% | 9% | 35% |
| Don't know | 27% | 34% | 24% |
| category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 32% | 28% |
| Worst is yet to come | 42% | 43% |
| Don't know | 26% | 29% |
| category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 37% | 29% | 24% |
| Worst is yet to come | 30% | 45% | 51% |
| Don't know | 33% | 26% | 24% |
| category | No high school | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Worst is over | 22% | 30% | 28% | 23% | 31% | 46% |
| Worst is yet to come | 50% | 42% | 43% | 49% | 39% | 36% |
| Don't know | 27% | 27% | 28% | 28% | 30% | 18% |
