Future National Economic Conditions (June 2024)

Future National Economic Conditions (June 2024)

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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?"
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categoryTotal
A lot better off9%
Somewhat better off25%
About the same21%
Somewhat worse off14%
A lot worse off13%
Don't know17%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
A lot better off13%3%7%
Somewhat better off35%17%19%
About the same23%21%20%
Somewhat worse off10%20%18%
A lot worse off6%25%17%
Don't know14%13%19%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
A lot better off10%7%16%
Somewhat better off37%28%36%
About the same20%28%22%
Somewhat worse off13%17%6%
A lot worse off6%11%4%
Don't know13%10%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
A lot better off1%5%11%
Somewhat better off12%15%23%
About the same20%31%14%
Somewhat worse off20%21%15%
A lot worse off21%16%16%
Don't know25%11%21%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
A lot better off14%5%8%
Somewhat better off35%27%17%
About the same18%27%21%
Somewhat worse off11%14%17%
A lot worse off6%14%18%
Don't know16%13%20%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
A lot better off11%15%15%
Somewhat better off36%36%33%
About the same24%14%19%
Somewhat worse off8%16%8%
A lot worse off5%5%7%
Don't know15%14%18%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
A lot better off5%5%12%
Somewhat better off19%19%14%
About the same22%22%18%
Somewhat worse off17%18%15%
A lot worse off18%19%16%
Don't know19%17%24%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
A lot better off9%11%9%
Somewhat better off23%38%20%
About the same21%15%26%
Somewhat worse off14%12%17%
A lot worse off13%12%14%
Don't know20%13%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
A lot better off10%8%
Somewhat better off30%21%
About the same20%22%
Somewhat worse off14%14%
A lot worse off14%13%
Don't know13%20%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
A lot better off12%8%7%
Somewhat better off33%24%15%
About the same20%23%19%
Somewhat worse off13%15%15%
A lot worse off11%14%17%
Don't know12%17%26%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
A lot better off11%9%7%10%
Somewhat better off31%29%22%22%
About the same21%23%21%20%
Somewhat worse off14%13%13%17%
A lot worse off8%10%18%15%
Don't know14%16%19%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
A lot better off8%11%9%5%7%10%
Somewhat better off30%23%25%17%30%26%
About the same18%25%18%22%24%15%
Somewhat worse off4%13%15%19%14%16%
A lot worse off21%12%16%15%10%16%
Don't know18%16%17%22%15%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
A lot better off12%5%8%9%
Somewhat better off22%30%26%24%
About the same20%23%27%18%
Somewhat worse off14%14%12%17%
A lot worse off16%11%10%14%
Don't know16%17%18%17%
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    Respondents were asked, "A year from now, do you expect that the national economy will be a lot better off, somewhat better off, about the same, somewhat worse off, or a lot worse off?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
A lot better off13%5%11%5%
Somewhat better off26%22%29%20%
About the same20%24%18%24%
Somewhat worse off12%14%18%16%
A lot worse off13%15%12%13%
Don't know16%20%13%22%

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