Future Performance as President - Donald Trump (October 2016)

Future Performance as President - Donald Trump (October 2016)

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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.

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categorycolumn-1
Great president11%
Good president21%
Average president13%
Poor president8%
Terrible president46%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Great president1%8%23%
Good president4%24%35%
Average president3%22%20%
Poor president6%12%9%
Terrible president86%34%13%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Great president17%14%30%
Good president30%40%35%
Average president28%17%18%
Poor president15%8%7%
Terrible president10%21%11%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Great president1%1%0%
Good president1%13%2%
Average president3%3%3%
Poor president3%6%7%
Terrible president92%76%88%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Great president1%4%21%
Good president1%18%32%
Average president2%10%20%
Poor president6%5%12%
Terrible president90%63%15%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Great president10%20%28%
Good president27%33%34%
Average president20%19%20%
Poor president17%12%9%
Terrible president27%15%10%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Great president0%0%2%
Good president2%2%1%
Average president2%2%3%
Poor president9%7%3%
Terrible president88%90%91%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Great president0%29%17%
Good president4%33%39%
Average president3%18%19%
Poor president6%7%11%
Terrible president88%13%14%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Great president15%2%6%
Good president24%3%23%
Average president17%3%8%
Poor president8%7%8%
Terrible president37%85%55%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Great president10%12%
Good president22%20%
Average president14%12%
Poor president9%7%
Terrible president45%48%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Community is based on the following question, "Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Great president7%13%12%
Good president11%23%28%
Average president9%12%20%
Poor president8%9%8%
Terrible president65%42%32%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Great president9%7%13%16%
Good president15%19%21%29%
Average president7%8%15%20%
Poor president6%11%11%3%
Terrible president63%55%40%32%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3.
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Great president25%15%9%12%10%10%
Good president29%23%23%12%23%13%
Average president6%15%15%6%9%16%
Poor president0%4%10%14%10%10%
Terrible president39%43%43%56%48%51%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3. Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Great president17%10%5%5%
Good president22%27%13%15%
Average president14%16%9%6%
Poor president9%6%10%8%
Terrible president38%40%63%65%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3. Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Great president21%10%5%
Good president26%26%11%
Average president11%16%10%
Poor president7%10%5%
Terrible president34%38%68%
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    Likely voters were asked, "For each of the following presidential candidates, please tell us whether you think that they would be a great, good, average, poor, or terrible president: Donald Trump."
    "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either certain to vote in Q3A or have voted in every election in Q3. College is based on those who have recieved a 4-year college education or a post-graduate education according to the EDUC variable.

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categoryNo College EducationCollege Educated
Great president12%10%
Good president22%19%
Average president14%11%
Poor president7%10%
Terrible president45%49%

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