GOP Lieutenant Governor Primary Vote Choice (October 2012)

GOP Lieutenant Governor Primary Vote Choice (October 2012)

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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3.
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categorycolumn-1
David Dewhurst15%
Susan Combs6%
Dan Patrick5%
Dan Branch1%
Jerry Patterson1%
Todd Staples1%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201433%
Haven't thought enough about it38%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
David Dewhurst3%9%25%
Susan Combs5%4%8%
Dan Patrick1%1%7%
Dan Branch1%0%0%
Jerry Patterson1%0%2%
Todd Staples0%2%2%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201474%34%3%
Haven't thought enough about it16%50%52%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
David Dewhurst20%23%29%
Susan Combs13%8%5%
Dan Patrick10%1%8%
Dan Branch0%2%0%
Jerry Patterson3%1%2%
Todd Staples3%2%2%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 20147%0%0%
Haven't thought enough about it45%64%55%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
David Dewhurst0%13%21%
Susan Combs2%8%7%
Dan Patrick0%2%8%
Dan Branch0%1%1%
Jerry Patterson1%0%2%
Todd Staples0%1%2%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201478%42%11%
Haven't thought enough about it18%34%48%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
David Dewhurst21%22%18%
Susan Combs7%1%18%
Dan Patrick6%9%7%
Dan Branch0%1%2%
Jerry Patterson2%2%3%
Todd Staples2%3%0%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201417%6%13%
Haven't thought enough about it45%55%38%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
David Dewhurst1%32%22%
Susan Combs6%11%8%
Dan Patrick1%5%12%
Dan Branch1%1%1%
Jerry Patterson1%2%1%
Todd Staples0%2%4%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201473%1%8%
Haven't thought enough about it18%46%42%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Race is calculated according to the RACE1 variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
David Dewhurst17%4%16%
Susan Combs7%5%1%
Dan Patrick6%0%1%
Dan Branch1%0%1%
Jerry Patterson2%0%1%
Todd Staples2%0%0%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201424%67%46%
Haven't thought enough about it41%23%34%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
David Dewhurst16%14%
Susan Combs6%7%
Dan Patrick7%2%
Dan Branch1%1%
Jerry Patterson2%0%
Todd Staples1%1%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201433%33%
Haven't thought enough about it35%41%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Location is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
David Dewhurst13%16%14%
Susan Combs3%7%9%
Dan Patrick5%6%2%
Dan Branch0%1%2%
Jerry Patterson0%2%1%
Todd Staples0%2%2%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201449%30%20%
Haven't thought enough about it30%37%49%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
David Dewhurst10%19%22%10%14%
Susan Combs5%6%10%4%8%
Dan Patrick13%2%0%5%2%
Dan Branch0%1%0%0%1%
Jerry Patterson1%2%1%4%1%
Todd Staples0%1%0%2%2%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201438%28%27%42%33%
Haven't thought enough about it33%42%40%33%38%
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    Likely voters were asked," If the 2014 Republican primary election for lieutenant governor were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? " "Likely Voters" were defined as those who indicated that they were either "Extremely" or "Somewhat" interested in politics in Q2 AND either voted in "Every" or "Almost every" election in Q3. Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
David Dewhurst0%16%11%31%13%16%
Susan Combs0%7%8%4%5%7%
Dan Patrick0%4%3%5%9%0%
Dan Branch0%0%2%0%1%1%
Jerry Patterson0%0%2%2%1%4%
Todd Staples0%1%1%0%0%5%
I won't be voting in the Republican primary in 201463%33%35%29%28%33%
Haven't thought enough about it37%39%37%29%42%34%

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