GOP Presidential Primary Vote Choice (June 2013)

GOP Presidential Primary Vote Choice (June 2013)

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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?"
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categorycolumn-1
Rick Perry10%
Ted Cruz25%
Marco Rubio11%
Rand Paul13%
Chris Christie8%
Paul Ryan8%
Rick Santorum2%
Bobby Jindal2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion21%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Rick Perry6%14%10%
Ted Cruz38%15%24%
Marco Rubio11%9%13%
Rand Paul14%10%10%
Chris Christie4%16%3%
Paul Ryan9%6%10%
Rick Santorum1%3%3%
Bobby Jindal3%3%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion14%25%24%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered "conservative".
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Rick Perry8%20%8%
Ted Cruz0%8%29%
Marco Rubio0%5%12%
Rand Paul20%10%14%
Chris Christie30%19%5%
Paul Ryan0%3%10%
Rick Santorum8%3%2%
Bobby Jindal0%2%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion33%31%19%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Rick Perry9%8%7%
Ted Cruz17%30%34%
Marco Rubio13%11%13%
Rand Paul15%9%19%
Chris Christie12%5%1%
Paul Ryan8%9%11%
Rick Santorum2%3%2%
Bobby Jindal3%2%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion22%23%12%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Rick Perry0%20%2%
Ted Cruz8%12%40%
Marco Rubio0%12%10%
Rand Paul8%6%21%
Chris Christie63%6%7%
Paul Ryan0%9%7%
Rick Santorum7%4%1%
Bobby Jindal0%1%4%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion15%29%8%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the RACE1 variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Rick Perry9%25%9%
Ted Cruz26%3%31%
Marco Rubio11%10%6%
Rand Paul13%2%12%
Chris Christie8%11%8%
Paul Ryan9%3%6%
Rick Santorum2%7%0%
Bobby Jindal3%0%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion20%38%25%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Rick Perry9%10%
Ted Cruz26%23%
Marco Rubio11%10%
Rand Paul13%12%
Chris Christie8%7%
Paul Ryan8%9%
Rick Santorum3%2%
Bobby Jindal3%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion18%25%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Location is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Rick Perry13%7%12%
Ted Cruz25%26%23%
Marco Rubio12%9%12%
Rand Paul8%15%12%
Chris Christie4%8%9%
Paul Ryan10%8%8%
Rick Santorum2%2%3%
Bobby Jindal0%3%3%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion27%21%18%
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    Respondents who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2016 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following possible candidates would you vote for, haven't you though about it enough to have an opinion?" Region is calculated according to the METRO variable.
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categoryHouston areaDallas-Fort Worth areaSan Antonio areaAustin areaAnother part of Texas
Rick Perry5%12%10%10%9%
Ted Cruz24%28%20%27%23%
Marco Rubio11%11%9%6%12%
Rand Paul13%16%5%16%11%
Chris Christie4%4%11%11%12%
Paul Ryan10%5%9%13%9%
Rick Santorum3%2%3%6%1%
Bobby Jindal2%2%0%0%4%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion27%20%33%11%18%

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