Likelihood to Change 2022 Agriculture Commissioner Vote (October 2022)
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| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Don't know | 10% |
| Not at all likely | 64% |
| Not very likely | 18% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% |
| Very likely | 2% |
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| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 22% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 67% | 40% | 66% |
| Not very likely | 14% | 27% | 21% |
| Somewhat likely | 7% | 6% | 4% |
| Very likely | 1% | 5% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 15% | 10% | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 56% | 60% | 75% |
| Not very likely | 23% | 14% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% | 16% | 4% |
| Very likely | 1% | 0% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 15% | 5% |
| Not at all likely | 49% | 50% | 76% |
| Not very likely | 35% | 28% | 14% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 5% | 4% |
| Very likely | 0% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 8% | 16% | 10% |
| Not at all likely | 74% | 44% | 65% |
| Not very likely | 12% | 21% | 20% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 13% | 4% |
| Very likely | 1% | 6% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 3% | 12% | 5% |
| Not at all likely | 75% | 71% | 78% |
| Not very likely | 16% | 11% | 11% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 5% | 5% |
| Very likely | 1% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 12% | 13% | 5% |
| Not at all likely | 36% | 65% | 80% |
| Not very likely | 36% | 19% | 12% |
| Somewhat likely | 15% | 2% | 1% |
| Very likely | 0% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 8% | 18% | 15% |
| Not at all likely | 66% | 63% | 57% |
| Not very likely | 19% | 9% | 16% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% | 7% | 10% |
| Very likely | 2% | 3% | 1% |
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| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 10% |
| Not at all likely | 63% | 64% |
| Not very likely | 20% | 15% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 9% |
| Very likely | 2% | 2% |
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| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 12% | 8% | 14% |
| Not at all likely | 58% | 67% | 62% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 18% | 20% |
| Somewhat likely | 10% | 5% | 4% |
| Very likely | 5% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 14% | 14% | 10% | 7% |
| Not at all likely | 46% | 58% | 68% | 70% |
| Not very likely | 21% | 17% | 17% | 18% |
| Somewhat likely | 12% | 7% | 4% | 6% |
| Very likely | 6% | 3% | 1% | 0% |
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| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 27% | 16% | 8% | 14% | 7% | 5% |
| Not at all likely | 54% | 55% | 68% | 59% | 69% | 67% |
| Not very likely | 5% | 18% | 16% | 19% | 17% | 22% |
| Somewhat likely | 14% | 8% | 5% | 7% | 7% | 3% |
| Very likely | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 1% | 3% |
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| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 7% | 3% | 18% |
| Not at all likely | 64% | 59% | 73% | 63% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 24% | 19% | 16% |
| Somewhat likely | 8% | 8% | 4% | 2% |
| Very likely | 2% | 2% | 2% | 1% |
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| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 11% | 10% | 11% | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 60% | 65% | 65% | 75% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 20% | 19% | 12% |
| Somewhat likely | 11% | 5% | 4% | 2% |
| Very likely | 4% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
