Likelihood to Change 2022 Gubernatoroal Vote (October 2022)
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| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Don't know | 2% |
| Not at all likely | 80% |
| Not very likely | 12% |
| Somewhat likely | 5% |
| Very likely | 2% |
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| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 7% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 80% | 65% | 84% |
| Not very likely | 12% | 14% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 14% | 3% |
| Very likely | 3% | 0% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 3% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 81% | 78% | 80% |
| Not very likely | 14% | 10% | 11% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 9% | 3% |
| Very likely | 0% | 0% | 5% |
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| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 0% | 2% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 76% | 77% | 89% |
| Not very likely | 21% | 12% | 6% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% | 6% | 3% |
| Very likely | 0% | 3% | 2% |
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| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 4% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 86% | 60% | 84% |
| Not very likely | 6% | 22% | 11% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 10% | 3% |
| Very likely | 3% | 3% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 2% | 0% | 0% |
| Not at all likely | 86% | 84% | 89% |
| Not very likely | 9% | 7% | 4% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 3% | 5% |
| Very likely | 0% | 6% | 2% |
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| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 2% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 65% | 85% | 92% |
| Not very likely | 22% | 10% | 5% |
| Somewhat likely | 12% | 2% | 0% |
| Very likely | 0% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 2% | 2% |
| Not at all likely | 81% | 73% | 77% |
| Not very likely | 12% | 7% | 14% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 11% | 4% |
| Very likely | 2% | 6% | 3% |
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| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 1% | 2% |
| Not at all likely | 81% | 78% |
| Not very likely | 11% | 13% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 6% |
| Very likely | 3% | 1% |
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| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 2% | 1% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 72% | 81% | 85% |
| Not very likely | 12% | 12% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 10% | 3% | 2% |
| Very likely | 3% | 2% | 2% |
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| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 0% | 4% | 0% | 2% |
| Not at all likely | 56% | 76% | 84% | 87% |
| Not very likely | 27% | 9% | 10% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 14% | 8% | 3% | 1% |
| Very likely | 3% | 4% | 3% | 0% |
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| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 0% | 1% | 1% | 4% | 1% | 3% |
| Not at all likely | 80% | 77% | 81% | 69% | 82% | 83% |
| Not very likely | 15% | 11% | 13% | 21% | 11% | 6% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 8% | 3% | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Very likely | 0% | 3% | 2% | 2% | 2% | 3% |
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| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 2% | 3% | 0% | 2% |
| Not at all likely | 83% | 69% | 79% | 86% |
| Not very likely | 7% | 20% | 13% | 10% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 8% | 7% | 1% |
| Very likely | 4% | 1% | 0% | 1% |
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| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Don't know | 3% | 2% | 1% | 0% |
| Not at all likely | 77% | 79% | 82% | 87% |
| Not very likely | 7% | 16% | 11% | 4% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% | 3% | 5% | 9% |
| Very likely | 6% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
