Likelihood of Political Violence in Response to 2024 Election Results (February 2024)
Loading chart...
| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Very likely | 24% |
| Somewhat likely | 36% |
| Not too likely | 21% |
| Not at all likely | 5% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 14% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 26% | 19% | 22% |
| Somewhat likely | 39% | 40% | 35% |
| Not too likely | 19% | 15% | 24% |
| Not at all likely | 5% | 8% | 5% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 11% | 18% | 14% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 21% | 23% | 30% |
| Somewhat likely | 52% | 30% | 39% |
| Not too likely | 13% | 31% | 15% |
| Not at all likely | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 9% | 10% | 12% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 21% | 20% | 24% |
| Somewhat likely | 39% | 42% | 29% |
| Not too likely | 21% | 25% | 25% |
| Not at all likely | 2% | 4% | 7% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 18% | 9% | 15% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 28% | 18% | 24% |
| Somewhat likely | 36% | 39% | 35% |
| Not too likely | 19% | 20% | 22% |
| Not at all likely | 4% | 6% | 6% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 12% | 18% | 14% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 23% | 20% | 39% |
| Somewhat likely | 42% | 37% | 31% |
| Not too likely | 20% | 26% | 13% |
| Not at all likely | 3% | 7% | 3% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 12% | 11% | 14% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 20% | 24% | 27% |
| Somewhat likely | 41% | 33% | 33% |
| Not too likely | 27% | 24% | 17% |
| Not at all likely | 4% | 4% | 9% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 9% | 15% | 15% |
Loading chart...
| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 25% | 18% | 22% |
| Somewhat likely | 39% | 35% | 34% |
| Not too likely | 20% | 25% | 21% |
| Not at all likely | 5% | 5% | 6% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 12% | 17% | 17% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 24% | 23% |
| Somewhat likely | 34% | 39% |
| Not too likely | 25% | 17% |
| Not at all likely | 7% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 11% | 17% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 24% | 21% | 29% |
| Somewhat likely | 34% | 39% | 34% |
| Not too likely | 22% | 22% | 15% |
| Not at all likely | 7% | 4% | 5% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 13% | 14% | 17% |
Loading chart...
| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 21% | 24% | 25% | 23% |
| Somewhat likely | 34% | 36% | 36% | 40% |
| Not too likely | 33% | 23% | 16% | 17% |
| Not at all likely | 3% | 6% | 6% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 9% | 11% | 17% | 16% |
Loading chart...
| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 22% | 23% | 22% | 18% | 26% | 28% |
| Somewhat likely | 16% | 35% | 40% | 40% | 34% | 40% |
| Not too likely | 16% | 22% | 19% | 23% | 22% | 16% |
| Not at all likely | 10% | 6% | 4% | 5% | 6% | 4% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 35% | 15% | 15% | 14% | 11% | 12% |
Loading chart...
| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 26% | 20% | 24% | 25% |
| Somewhat likely | 31% | 41% | 39% | 41% |
| Not too likely | 22% | 21% | 22% | 11% |
| Not at all likely | 7% | 3% | 4% | 6% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 14% | 14% | 12% | 18% |
Loading chart...
| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 25% | 23% | 24% | 17% |
| Somewhat likely | 31% | 37% | 43% | 44% |
| Not too likely | 21% | 24% | 15% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 7% | 4% | 4% | 11% |
| Don't know/No opinion | 16% | 12% | 14% | 19% |
