President Trump Re-Election Intent (June 2019)

President Trump Re-Election Intent (June 2019)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
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categoryTotal
Definitely Donald Trump39%
Probably Donald Trump11%
Probably someone else7%
Definitely someone else43%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Definitely Donald Trump5%26%73%
Probably Donald Trump4%14%17%
Probably someone else6%15%5%
Definitely someone else86%45%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Definitely Donald Trump9%4%4%
Probably Donald Trump2%6%3%
Probably someone else5%5%7%
Definitely someone else84%86%86%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Definitely Donald Trump65%50%87%
Probably Donald Trump21%27%9%
Probably someone else7%13%1%
Definitely someone else7%10%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Definitely Donald Trump8%17%72%
Probably Donald Trump4%15%14%
Probably someone else6%12%5%
Definitely someone else82%57%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Definitely Donald Trump10%3%13%
Probably Donald Trump5%4%3%
Probably someone else4%9%3%
Definitely someone else81%85%81%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Definitely Donald Trump37%75%89%
Probably Donald Trump27%14%6%
Probably someone else16%3%1%
Definitely someone else21%7%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Definitely Donald Trump50%14%27%
Probably Donald Trump10%8%13%
Probably someone else5%11%8%
Definitely someone else34%67%52%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Definitely Donald Trump47%33%
Probably Donald Trump11%11%
Probably someone else7%7%
Definitely someone else36%49%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Definitely Donald Trump27%42%51%
Probably Donald Trump10%9%15%
Probably someone else10%6%4%
Definitely someone else53%42%30%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Definitely Donald Trump22%29%44%57%
Probably Donald Trump17%13%9%9%
Probably someone else13%10%5%3%
Definitely someone else49%49%43%32%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Definitely Donald Trump30%39%47%45%34%38%
Probably Donald Trump14%10%7%13%12%13%
Probably someone else6%5%7%8%7%9%
Definitely someone else50%45%39%35%47%40%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Definitely Donald Trump51%41%29%14%
Probably Donald Trump11%14%11%5%
Probably someone else8%8%8%2%
Definitely someone else30%37%53%79%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Definitely Donald Trump58%42%16%
Probably Donald Trump11%13%5%
Probably someone else8%8%3%
Definitely someone else24%37%75%

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