President Trump Re-Election Intent (October 2019)

President Trump Re-Election Intent (October 2019)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
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categoryTotal
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump40%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump8%
Probably vote for someone else6%
Definitely vote for someone else46%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents . Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump4%28%76%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump2%10%13%
Probably vote for someone else4%15%6%
Definitely vote for someone else90%47%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump5%6%4%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump2%4%0%
Probably vote for someone else5%3%3%
Definitely vote for someone else89%87%93%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump77%46%86%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump12%27%8%
Probably vote for someone else3%19%3%
Definitely vote for someone else8%9%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump6%19%69%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump3%9%10%
Probably vote for someone else7%7%6%
Definitely vote for someone else83%65%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump5%5%10%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump3%3%4%
Probably vote for someone else6%12%3%
Definitely vote for someone else87%79%83%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump44%78%73%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump17%9%6%
Probably vote for someone else14%3%4%
Definitely vote for someone else25%10%17%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump51%9%29%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump9%2%8%
Probably vote for someone else5%9%8%
Definitely vote for someone else34%81%56%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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categoryMaleFemale
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump48%33%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump7%9%
Probably vote for someone else6%6%
Definitely vote for someone else39%52%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump27%41%56%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump5%9%8%
Probably vote for someone else11%3%5%
Definitely vote for someone else56%46%30%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump25%33%45%52%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump12%6%7%8%
Probably vote for someone else17%5%3%3%
Definitely vote for someone else46%56%44%38%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?"
    Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump20%46%40%37%39%38%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump8%9%7%4%8%8%
Probably vote for someone else2%5%7%13%5%5%
Definitely vote for someone else70%39%47%46%48%48%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump52%34%25%27%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump7%10%12%5%
Probably vote for someone else6%9%7%3%
Definitely vote for someone else36%47%56%66%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, would you definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump, probably vote for someone else, or definitely vote for someone else?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Definitely vote to re-elect Donald Trump53%43%19%
Probably vote to re-elect Donald Trump7%10%6%
Probably vote for someone else6%7%7%
Definitely vote for someone else35%41%68%

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