Presidential Trial Ballot, Multicandidate (August 2024)

Presidential Trial Ballot, Multicandidate (August 2024)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
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categoryTotal
Donald Trump49%
Kamala Harris44%
Jill Stein2%
Chase Oliver0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Donald Trump4%33%92%
Kamala Harris90%38%5%
Jill Stein2%5%1%
Chase Oliver0%3%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%21%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Donald Trump3%5%3%
Kamala Harris84%80%95%
Jill Stein3%8%0%
Chase Oliver1%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion9%7%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Donald Trump91%84%96%
Kamala Harris5%10%2%
Jill Stein0%2%1%
Chase Oliver0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%4%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Donald Trump8%34%84%
Kamala Harris87%50%11%
Jill Stein3%2%1%
Chase Oliver0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion2%14%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Donald Trump11%9%2%
Kamala Harris86%85%92%
Jill Stein0%5%4%
Chase Oliver1%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion2%1%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Donald Trump69%87%90%
Kamala Harris19%10%6%
Jill Stein2%1%1%
Chase Oliver1%0%1%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%2%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Donald Trump59%19%43%
Kamala Harris35%74%44%
Jill Stein2%1%3%
Chase Oliver0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%6%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Donald Trump55%43%
Kamala Harris38%48%
Jill Stein2%2%
Chase Oliver1%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion4%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Donald Trump45%46%62%
Kamala Harris48%45%31%
Jill Stein2%2%1%
Chase Oliver0%0%1%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%6%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Donald Trump43%44%49%57%
Kamala Harris44%46%45%38%
Jill Stein5%2%1%0%
Chase Oliver0%1%1%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%7%4%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Donald Trump53%57%43%46%49%41%
Kamala Harris36%38%46%41%45%55%
Jill Stein0%1%4%4%1%1%
Chase Oliver0%0%2%0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion11%5%5%9%5%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Donald Trump59%54%36%21%
Kamala Harris34%38%54%71%
Jill Stein1%1%6%3%
Chase Oliver0%0%0%1%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%7%4%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were Kamala Harris Biden, Donald Trump, Jill Stein, and Chase Oliver, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Donald Trump64%52%21%40%
Kamala Harris29%41%72%41%
Jill Stein1%1%3%8%
Chase Oliver0%0%1%0%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%5%4%12%

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