Presidential Trial Ballot: Trump vs. Warren (February 2020)

Presidential Trial Ballot: Trump vs. Warren (February 2020)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
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categoryTotal
Donald Trump47%
Elizabeth Warren44%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Donald Trump4%31%91%
Elizabeth Warren88%31%5%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%38%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Donald Trump6%5%3%
Elizabeth Warren88%86%90%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion6%9%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Donald Trump87%89%94%
Elizabeth Warren11%5%3%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion2%6%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Donald Trump5%29%86%
Elizabeth Warren88%51%10%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%20%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Donald Trump7%3%5%
Elizabeth Warren83%89%91%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%8%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Donald Trump63%91%93%
Elizabeth Warren29%8%3%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion7%1%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Donald Trump57%13%39%
Elizabeth Warren37%69%48%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion5%18%13%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Donald Trump51%43%
Elizabeth Warren41%48%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Donald Trump36%47%64%
Elizabeth Warren55%45%28%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion10%8%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Donald Trump30%40%52%61%
Elizabeth Warren57%51%40%35%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion13%9%8%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Donald Trump45%46%50%51%46%44%
Elizabeth Warren40%41%40%47%48%53%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion15%13%10%2%6%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Donald Trump59%51%33%24%
Elizabeth Warren32%41%58%66%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%8%9%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2020 presidential election were held today, and the candidates were [RANDOMIZE ORDER “Donald Trump”, “Elizabeth Warren”] Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren, who would you vote for, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Donald Trump63%56%18%49%
Elizabeth Warren29%39%74%26%
Haven't thought about it enough to have an opinion8%5%8%25%

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