Presidential Vote Certainty (October 2020)
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| category | Total |
|---|---|
| Very likely | 4% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% |
| Not very likely | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 82% |
| Don't know | 1% |
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| Category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 4% | 5% | 4% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 1% | 3% |
| Not very likely | 8% | 15% | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 86% | 72% | 84% |
| Don't know | 0% | 7% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean Democrat | Not very strong Democrat | Strong Democrat |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 0% | 3% | 6% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% | 5% | 2% |
| Not very likely | 16% | 20% | 1% |
| Not at all likely | 81% | 73% | 91% |
| Don't know | 0% | 0% | 0% |
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| Category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 1% | 2% | 5% |
| Somewhat likely | 0% | 4% | 4% |
| Not very likely | 14% | 16% | 5% |
| Not at all likely | 84% | 75% | 86% |
| Don't know | 1% | 3% | 0% |
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| Category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 4% | 4% | 5% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 4% | 3% |
| Not very likely | 6% | 18% | 8% |
| Not at all likely | 89% | 71% | 83% |
| Don't know | 0% | 3% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean liberal | Somewhat liberal | Extremely liberal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 2% | 2% | 7% |
| Somewhat likely | 0% | 2% | 3% |
| Not very likely | 6% | 8% | 3% |
| Not at all likely | 91% | 89% | 86% |
| Don't know | 0% | 0% | 1% |
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| Category | Lean conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 4% | 3% | 8% |
| Somewhat likely | 6% | 4% | 1% |
| Not very likely | 11% | 10% | 6% |
| Not at all likely | 78% | 82% | 85% |
| Don't know | 1% | 1% | 0% |
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| Category | White | Black | Hispanic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 3% | 13% | 3% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 3% | 6% |
| Not very likely | 8% | 10% | 12% |
| Not at all likely | 86% | 74% | 77% |
| Don't know | 1% | 0% | 2% |
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| Category | Male | Female |
|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 3% | 6% |
| Somewhat likely | 4% | 2% |
| Not very likely | 10% | 9% |
| Not at all likely | 82% | 83% |
| Don't know | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 5% | 5% | 2% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Not very likely | 11% | 9% | 7% |
| Not at all likely | 80% | 82% | 87% |
| Don't know | 2% | 1% | 2% |
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| Category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 8% | 11% | 1% | 1% |
| Somewhat likely | 8% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
| Not very likely | 21% | 11% | 7% | 4% |
| Not at all likely | 62% | 72% | 88% | 95% |
| Don't know | 0% | 1% | 2% | 0% |
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| Category | No HS | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 0% | 6% | 2% | 10% | 4% | 3% |
| Somewhat likely | 8% | 4% | 3% | 3% | 2% | 2% |
| Not very likely | 0% | 6% | 12% | 9% | 12% | 6% |
| Not at all likely | 92% | 82% | 83% | 78% | 81% | 88% |
| Don't know | 0% | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% | 2% |
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| Category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 7% | 4% | 2% | 0% |
| Somewhat likely | 2% | 5% | 2% | 0% |
| Not very likely | 10% | 9% | 9% | 7% |
| Not at all likely | 80% | 80% | 85% | 92% |
| Don't know | 1% | 1% | 1% | 1% |
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| Category | The Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word. | The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God. | Don't know. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Very likely | 8% | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| Somewhat likely | 3% | 3% | 2% | 0% |
| Not very likely | 10% | 10% | 7% | 13% |
| Not at all likely | 78% | 83% | 88% | 85% |
| Don't know | 0% | 1% | 1% | 2% |
