Republican Attorney General Primary Vote Choice (February 2014)
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election."
| category | column-1 |
|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 20% |
| Dan Branch | 42% |
| Ken Paxton | 38% |
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election." Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
| category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 15% | 17% | 20% |
| Dan Branch | 49% | 27% | 53% |
| Ken Paxton | 36% | 57% | 27% |
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election." Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
| category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 0% | 35% | 18% |
| Dan Branch | 89% | 26% | 45% |
| Ken Paxton | 11% | 39% | 38% |
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election." The ideology measure is based on respondent self-placement in response to the following question: "On a scale from 1 to 7, where 1 is extremely liberal, 7 is extremely conservative, and 4 is exactly in the middle, where would you place yourself?" The placements are further classified such that 1 is extremely liberal, 2 is very liberal, 3 is somewhat liberal, 4 is moderate, 5 is somewhat conservative, 6 is very conservative, and 7 is extremely conservative.
| category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 16% | 16% | 23% |
| Dan Branch | 38% | 52% | 39% |
| Ken Paxton | 46% | 33% | 38% |
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election." Tea Party identification is based on the following question, also asked in the survey: "Suppose the Tea Party movement organized itself as a political party. When thinking about the next election for Congress, would you vote for the Republican candidate from your district, the Democratic candidate from your district, or the Tea Party candidate from your district?" Those who responded "Republican candidate" are considered Republicans (non-Tea Party movement) and those who responded "Tea Party candidate" are considered Tea Party Republicans.
| category | Tea Party | Republican |
|---|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 18% | 21% |
| Dan Branch | 44% | 52% |
| Ken Paxton | 38% | 27% |
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Likely voters who indicated that they will be voting in the Republican Primary election were asked, "If the 2014 Republican primary election for attorney general were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for?" Likely voters are those respondents who consider themselves to be "extremely interested" or "somewhat interested" in politics and public affairs and vote in "every election" or " almost every election." Community is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
| category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barry Smitherman | 23% | 20% | 17% |
| Dan Branch | 38% | 42% | 48% |
| Ken Paxton | 39% | 38% | 35% |
