Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice (December 2023)

Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice (December 2023)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]"
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categoryTotal
Donald Trump65%
Ron DeSantis12%
Nikki Haley9%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%
Chris Christie2%
Doug Burgum1%
Someone else0%
No one/None of them1%
Anyone/Any of them1%
Don't know/No opinion6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Donald Trump30%57%68%
Ron DeSantis4%9%13%
Nikki Haley31%24%6%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%11%4%
Chris Christie19%0%1%
Doug Burgum0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
No one/None of them2%0%1%
Anyone/Any of them3%0%1%
Don't know/No opinion11%0%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Donald Trump22%100%33%
Ron DeSantis0%0%14%
Nikki Haley39%0%19%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%
Chris Christie22%0%14%
Doug Burgum0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
No one/None of them0%0%9%
Anyone/Any of them0%0%11%
Don't know/No opinion16%0%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Donald Trump61%49%80%
Ron DeSantis18%14%10%
Nikki Haley7%11%4%
Vivek Ramaswamy8%5%2%
Chris Christie0%2%1%
Doug Burgum0%0%1%
Someone else0%1%0%
No one/None of them0%2%0%
Anyone/Any of them1%3%1%
Don't know/No opinion6%13%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Donald Trump45%56%69%
Ron DeSantis7%8%13%
Nikki Haley22%9%8%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%7%4%
Chris Christie9%3%1%
Doug Burgum0%0%1%
Someone else0%1%0%
No one/None of them2%1%1%
Anyone/Any of them5%2%1%
Don't know/No opinion10%13%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Donald Trump24%49%67%
Ron DeSantis19%0%0%
Nikki Haley27%28%11%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%
Chris Christie18%5%3%
Doug Burgum0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
No one/None of them0%0%6%
Anyone/Any of them7%6%0%
Don't know/No opinion6%13%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Donald Trump47%72%76%
Ron DeSantis18%10%14%
Nikki Haley17%7%4%
Vivek Ramaswamy6%4%3%
Chris Christie2%1%0%
Doug Burgum3%1%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
No one/None of them1%0%1%
Anyone/Any of them0%1%0%
Don't know/No opinion6%5%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Donald Trump64%72%69%
Ron DeSantis13%17%6%
Nikki Haley9%0%9%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%0%7%
Chris Christie2%0%1%
Doug Burgum0%11%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
No one/None of them1%0%0%
Anyone/Any of them1%0%1%
Don't know/No opinion5%0%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Donald Trump65%66%
Ron DeSantis12%12%
Nikki Haley11%7%
Vivek Ramaswamy6%2%
Chris Christie2%2%
Doug Burgum0%1%
Someone else0%0%
No one/None of them1%1%
Anyone/Any of them1%1%
Don't know/No opinion3%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Donald Trump67%63%69%
Ron DeSantis14%10%12%
Nikki Haley8%10%8%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%5%1%
Chris Christie0%2%2%
Doug Burgum1%0%0%
Someone else1%0%0%
No one/None of them0%1%1%
Anyone/Any of them2%1%0%
Don't know/No opinion2%6%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Donald Trump63%65%62%71%
Ron DeSantis6%15%9%14%
Nikki Haley13%2%12%8%
Vivek Ramaswamy2%5%7%1%
Chris Christie4%2%2%1%
Doug Burgum0%2%0%0%
Someone else2%0%0%0%
No one/None of them1%1%1%1%
Anyone/Any of them2%1%1%1%
Don't know/No opinion7%7%5%4%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Donald Trump59%74%72%76%54%52%
Ron DeSantis8%10%10%13%13%16%
Nikki Haley0%6%5%3%16%17%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%1%10%3%3%6%
Chris Christie0%1%0%1%3%3%
Doug Burgum0%0%0%0%1%2%
Someone else0%1%0%0%0%0%
No one/None of them0%1%0%0%2%0%
Anyone/Any of them0%2%0%0%2%1%
Don't know/No opinion33%4%3%3%6%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Donald Trump71%63%49%57%
Ron DeSantis11%16%7%4%
Nikki Haley7%6%16%20%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%4%8%2%
Chris Christie0%1%6%8%
Doug Burgum1%0%0%0%
Someone else0%1%0%0%
No one/None of them0%1%4%0%
Anyone/Any of them0%2%6%0%
Don't know/No opinion5%6%3%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-10]" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Donald Trump71%64%51%66%
Ron DeSantis14%11%9%0%
Nikki Haley4%13%15%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy2%5%6%0%
Chris Christie0%2%7%0%
Doug Burgum1%0%0%0%
Someone else0%1%0%0%
No one/None of them0%1%1%6%
Anyone/Any of them0%1%2%14%
Don't know/No opinion7%3%8%14%

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