Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice (February 2024)

Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice (February 2024)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]"
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categoryTotal
Donald Trump80%
Nikki Haley9%
Ron DeSantis8%
Chris Christie2%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%
Asa Hutchinson0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%
David Stuckenberg0%
Someone else1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Donald Trump57%84%81%
Nikki Haley17%9%9%
Ron DeSantis0%0%9%
Chris Christie17%0%1%
Vivek Ramaswamy2%1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%2%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg1%0%0%
Someone else7%4%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Donald Trump79%60%90%
Nikki Haley13%14%5%
Ron DeSantis4%23%5%
Chris Christie3%1%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%
Someone else1%2%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Donald Trump74%74%81%
Nikki Haley15%14%8%
Ron DeSantis2%1%10%
Chris Christie2%9%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy2%0%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%1%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%
Someone else6%1%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Donald Trump58%78%92%
Nikki Haley13%11%4%
Ron DeSantis25%9%4%
Chris Christie2%0%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%
Someone else1%1%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Donald Trump78%51%88%
Nikki Haley11%5%7%
Ron DeSantis9%20%3%
Chris Christie1%21%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%1%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%
Someone else1%3%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Donald Trump82%77%
Nikki Haley9%9%
Ron DeSantis6%9%
Chris Christie1%2%
Vivek Ramaswamy1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%
Someone else1%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Donald Trump79%80%81%
Nikki Haley8%9%11%
Ron DeSantis10%8%5%
Chris Christie3%1%1%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%
Someone else0%1%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Donald Trump88%69%80%82%
Nikki Haley4%10%10%9%
Ron DeSantis7%15%6%5%
Chris Christie0%5%0%1%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%0%
Someone else1%0%1%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Donald Trump85%87%81%83%72%67%
Nikki Haley4%6%8%6%16%10%
Ron DeSantis11%6%5%10%9%13%
Chris Christie0%0%4%1%0%7%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%1%0%1%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%0%0%1%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%2%0%3%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Donald Trump85%72%79%65%
Nikki Haley7%11%5%24%
Ron DeSantis5%13%12%0%
Chris Christie0%3%0%9%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%0%0%2%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%0%
Someone else1%0%3%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Republican primary election for president were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-8]" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Donald Trump86%75%64%88%
Nikki Haley4%10%26%8%
Ron DeSantis6%12%0%4%
Chris Christie2%0%6%0%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%1%1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%0%0%0%
Ryan L. Brinkley0%0%0%0%
David Stuckenberg0%0%0%0%
Someone else1%1%3%0%

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