Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice: Second Choice (October 2023)

Republican Presidential Primary Vote Choice: Second Choice (October 2023)

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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?"
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categoryTotal
Ron DeSantis32%
Nikki Haley12%
Vivek Ramaswamy12%
Mike Pence8%
Tim Scott7%
Donald Trump6%
Chris Christie3%
Asa Hutchinson1%
Doug Burgum1%
Will Hurd1%
Haven't thought about it17%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Ron DeSantis0%21%35%
Nikki Haley4%30%11%
Vivek Ramaswamy2%13%12%
Mike Pence0%0%10%
Tim Scott3%18%7%
Donald Trump0%0%6%
Chris Christie38%6%0%
Asa Hutchinson8%0%1%
Doug Burgum0%0%1%
Will Hurd11%4%0%
Haven't thought about it34%8%17%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Ron DeSantis31%29%41%
Nikki Haley15%6%10%
Vivek Ramaswamy19%8%10%
Mike Pence1%19%10%
Tim Scott9%7%6%
Donald Trump8%4%7%
Chris Christie0%1%0%
Asa Hutchinson0%2%1%
Doug Burgum1%2%1%
Will Hurd0%0%1%
Haven't thought about it17%23%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Ron DeSantis18%28%35%
Nikki Haley18%11%11%
Vivek Ramaswamy5%6%14%
Mike Pence10%9%8%
Tim Scott8%7%7%
Donald Trump8%4%6%
Chris Christie13%5%1%
Asa Hutchinson2%4%0%
Doug Burgum0%0%1%
Will Hurd3%2%1%
Haven't thought about it13%24%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Ron DeSantis31%31%40%
Nikki Haley10%13%11%
Vivek Ramaswamy11%17%13%
Mike Pence8%8%9%
Tim Scott5%9%7%
Donald Trump8%5%5%
Chris Christie3%0%0%
Asa Hutchinson1%0%0%
Doug Burgum2%2%0%
Will Hurd3%0%0%
Haven't thought about it18%16%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Ron DeSantis33%22%32%
Nikki Haley12%2%14%
Vivek Ramaswamy13%13%4%
Mike Pence9%14%6%
Tim Scott7%13%8%
Donald Trump5%2%6%
Chris Christie2%9%5%
Asa Hutchinson1%0%0%
Doug Burgum1%7%0%
Will Hurd1%0%1%
Haven't thought about it15%18%24%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Ron DeSantis33%30%
Nikki Haley14%10%
Vivek Ramaswamy12%11%
Mike Pence6%11%
Tim Scott9%6%
Donald Trump4%7%
Chris Christie4%2%
Asa Hutchinson0%2%
Doug Burgum1%1%
Will Hurd1%1%
Haven't thought about it15%19%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Ron DeSantis37%29%32%
Nikki Haley11%12%15%
Vivek Ramaswamy9%15%9%
Mike Pence11%9%5%
Tim Scott6%8%8%
Donald Trump3%6%7%
Chris Christie4%2%4%
Asa Hutchinson1%1%0%
Doug Burgum1%0%2%
Will Hurd0%2%0%
Haven't thought about it16%17%18%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Ron DeSantis39%33%30%30%
Nikki Haley3%8%14%17%
Vivek Ramaswamy4%12%12%15%
Mike Pence27%9%6%2%
Tim Scott5%4%6%14%
Donald Trump3%10%5%3%
Chris Christie8%0%3%2%
Asa Hutchinson0%3%0%1%
Doug Burgum0%0%2%1%
Will Hurd1%0%1%1%
Haven't thought about it11%20%19%14%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Ron DeSantis0%38%29%39%29%34%
Nikki Haley4%16%11%10%10%14%
Vivek Ramaswamy0%11%17%9%13%5%
Mike Pence27%10%8%6%8%6%
Tim Scott14%4%6%3%11%9%
Donald Trump0%4%4%12%7%3%
Chris Christie8%2%5%2%2%4%
Asa Hutchinson0%1%0%1%1%3%
Doug Burgum0%1%1%0%0%3%
Will Hurd0%1%0%0%1%4%
Haven't thought about it47%12%19%18%17%16%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Ron DeSantis32%31%37%32%
Nikki Haley13%14%4%9%
Vivek Ramaswamy13%8%13%15%
Mike Pence8%12%5%3%
Tim Scott8%8%7%4%
Donald Trump5%7%4%2%
Chris Christie3%1%4%8%
Asa Hutchinson0%3%0%0%
Doug Burgum0%2%2%0%
Will Hurd1%1%5%0%
Haven't thought about it18%13%20%26%
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    Respondents were asked, "Of the remaining possible candidates, who would be your second choice, or have you not thought about it enough to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Ron DeSantis30%36%24%34%
Nikki Haley13%12%6%12%
Vivek Ramaswamy9%13%9%27%
Mike Pence11%8%8%0%
Tim Scott6%9%4%9%
Donald Trump5%7%2%0%
Chris Christie2%3%11%0%
Asa Hutchinson2%1%0%0%
Doug Burgum1%0%0%10%
Will Hurd1%1%1%0%
Haven't thought about it22%11%34%9%

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