Republican Primary Vote Choice Among Likely Voters (February 2016)
category | |
---|---|
Ted Cruz | 37% |
Donald J. Trump | 29% |
Marco Rubio | 14% |
Jeb Bush | 6% |
Ben Carson | 5% |
John R. Kasich | 5% |
Rand Paul | 2% |
Carly Fiorina | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 1% |
Rick Santorum | 1% |
Chris Christie | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% |
category | Democrat | Independent | Republican |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 9% | 21% | 42% |
Donald J. Trump | 38% | 36% | 27% |
Marco Rubio | 12% | 23% | 13% |
Jeb Bush | 16% | 5% | 5% |
Ben Carson | 7% | 0% | 5% |
John R. Kasich | 11% | 12% | 4% |
Rand Paul | 0% | 3% | 1% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 7% | 0% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 0% | 1% |
category | Lean Republican | Not very strong Republican | Strong Republican |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 49% | 25% | 44% |
Donald J. Trump | 24% | 30% | 27% |
Marco Rubio | 12% | 19% | 12% |
Jeb Bush | 0% | 13% | 6% |
Ben Carson | 7% | 0% | 6% |
John R. Kasich | 2% | 8% | 3% |
Rand Paul | 3% | 3% | 0% |
Carly Fiorina | 1% | 3% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Rick Santorum | 1% | 0% | 1% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 0% | 1% |
category | Liberals | Moderates | Conservatives |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 17% | 12% | 44% |
Donald J. Trump | 31% | 41% | 26% |
Marco Rubio | 10% | 18% | 14% |
Jeb Bush | 10% | 14% | 4% |
Ben Carson | 0% | 4% | 5% |
John R. Kasich | 8% | 9% | 4% |
Rand Paul | 19% | 0% | 2% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 4% | 0% | 1% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 0% | 1% |
category | Leaning conservative | Somewhat conservative | Extremely conservative |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 22% | 44% | 57% |
Donald J. Trump | 31% | 24% | 26% |
Marco Rubio | 27% | 14% | 4% |
Jeb Bush | 4% | 5% | 2% |
Ben Carson | 5% | 3% | 7% |
John R. Kasich | 8% | 4% | 1% |
Rand Paul | 1% | 2% | 2% |
Carly Fiorina | 2% | 1% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 0% | 1% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 1% | 0% |
category | Democrat | Republican | Tea Party |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 5% | 32% | 56% |
Donald J. Trump | 36% | 30% | 26% |
Marco Rubio | 20% | 18% | 8% |
Jeb Bush | 17% | 9% | 0% |
Ben Carson | 5% | 4% | 3% |
John R. Kasich | 8% | 4% | 3% |
Rand Paul | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 1% | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 4% | 1% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 5% | 1% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 0% | 0% |
category | White | Black | Hispanic |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 38% | 36% | 33% |
Donald J. Trump | 28% | 44% | 26% |
Marco Rubio | 15% | 16% | 15% |
Jeb Bush | 5% | 4% | 9% |
Ben Carson | 4% | 0% | 10% |
John R. Kasich | 6% | 0% | 0% |
Rand Paul | 2% | 0% | 2% |
Carly Fiorina | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 0% | 0% | 2% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 0% | 3% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 0% | 0% |
category | Male | Female |
---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 41% | 34% |
Donald J. Trump | 26% | 32% |
Marco Rubio | 16% | 13% |
Jeb Bush | 6% | 5% |
Ben Carson | 3% | 7% |
John R. Kasich | 4% | 5% |
Rand Paul | 2% | 1% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 1% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 1% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 1% |
category | 18-29 | 30-44 | 45-64 | 65+ |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 35% | 40% | 38% | 35% |
Donald J. Trump | 10% | 25% | 36% | 25% |
Marco Rubio | 17% | 10% | 12% | 21% |
Jeb Bush | 14% | 3% | 5% | 5% |
Ben Carson | 6% | 11% | 2% | 3% |
John R. Kasich | 5% | 3% | 4% | 8% |
Rand Paul | 0% | 4% | 1% | 2% |
Carly Fiorina | 2% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 5% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 4% | 0% | 1% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 2% | 0% | 0% | 1% |
category | No high school | High school graduate | Some college | 2-year | 4-year | Post-grad |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 41% | 39% | 50% | 28% | 34% | 20% |
Donald J. Trump | 18% | 31% | 29% | 42% | 28% | 20% |
Marco Rubio | 34% | 10% | 6% | 13% | 14% | 35% |
Jeb Bush | 0% | 5% | 7% | 6% | 5% | 7% |
Ben Carson | 0% | 6% | 4% | 0% | 8% | 0% |
John R. Kasich | 0% | 2% | 3% | 6% | 6% | 15% |
Rand Paul | 7% | 2% | 1% | 0% | 2% | 0% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 2% | 3% |
Elizabeth Gray | 0% | 0% | 0% | 4% | 1% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 0% | 3% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 0% | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
category | Urban | Suburban | Rural |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 26% | 42% | 40% |
Donald J. Trump | 36% | 24% | 31% |
Marco Rubio | 21% | 13% | 10% |
Jeb Bush | 7% | 5% | 6% |
Ben Carson | 1% | 5% | 6% |
John R. Kasich | 3% | 7% | 2% |
Rand Paul | 0% | 2% | 3% |
Carly Fiorina | 2% | 0% | 1% |
Elizabeth Gray | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Lindsey Graham | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 0% | 1% |
category | Extremely important | Somewhat important | Not very important | Not at all important |
---|---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 44% | 29% | 41% | 22% |
Donald J. Trump | 24% | 39% | 18% | 33% |
Marco Rubio | 13% | 16% | 5% | 27% |
Jeb Bush | 5% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
Ben Carson | 5% | 3% | 11% | 0% |
John R. Kasich | 4% | 4% | 17% | 5% |
Rand Paul | 2% | 1% | 2% | 1% |
Carly Fiorina | 1% | 0% | 5% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 0% | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 1% | 1% | 0% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
category | The Bible is the word of God, to be taken literally | The Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literally | The Bible is a book written by men |
---|---|---|---|
Ted Cruz | 44% | 37% | 26% |
Donald J. Trump | 25% | 32% | 27% |
Marco Rubio | 13% | 15% | 18% |
Jeb Bush | 4% | 5% | 15% |
Ben Carson | 7% | 3% | 5% |
John R. Kasich | 2% | 6% | 7% |
Rand Paul | 2% | 1% | 1% |
Carly Fiorina | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Elizabeth Gray | 2% | 0% | 0% |
Rick Santorum | 1% | 1% | 0% |
Chris Christie | 0% | 0% | 0% |
Mike Huckabee | 1% | 0% | 0% |