Republican Primary Vote Choice Among Likely Voters (February 2016)

Republican Primary Vote Choice Among Likely Voters (February 2016)

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Ted Cruz37%
Donald J. Trump29%
Marco Rubio14%
Jeb Bush6%
Ben Carson5%
John R. Kasich5%
Rand Paul2%
Carly Fiorina1%
Elizabeth Gray1%
Rick Santorum1%
Chris Christie0%
Lindsey Graham0%
Mike Huckabee0%

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categoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Ted Cruz9%21%42%
Donald J. Trump38%36%27%
Marco Rubio12%23%13%
Jeb Bush16%5%5%
Ben Carson7%0%5%
John R. Kasich11%12%4%
Rand Paul0%3%1%
Carly Fiorina0%0%1%
Elizabeth Gray7%0%0%
Rick Santorum0%0%1%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%0%1%

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categoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Ted Cruz49%25%44%
Donald J. Trump24%30%27%
Marco Rubio12%19%12%
Jeb Bush0%13%6%
Ben Carson7%0%6%
John R. Kasich2%8%3%
Rand Paul3%3%0%
Carly Fiorina1%3%0%
Elizabeth Gray0%0%1%
Rick Santorum1%0%1%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%0%1%

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categoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Ted Cruz17%12%44%
Donald J. Trump31%41%26%
Marco Rubio10%18%14%
Jeb Bush10%14%4%
Ben Carson0%4%5%
John R. Kasich8%9%4%
Rand Paul19%0%2%
Carly Fiorina0%0%1%
Elizabeth Gray4%0%1%
Rick Santorum0%2%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%0%1%

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categoryLeaning conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Ted Cruz22%44%57%
Donald J. Trump31%24%26%
Marco Rubio27%14%4%
Jeb Bush4%5%2%
Ben Carson5%3%7%
John R. Kasich8%4%1%
Rand Paul1%2%2%
Carly Fiorina2%1%0%
Elizabeth Gray0%2%0%
Rick Santorum0%0%1%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee1%1%0%

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categoryDemocratRepublicanTea Party
Ted Cruz5%32%56%
Donald J. Trump36%30%26%
Marco Rubio20%18%8%
Jeb Bush17%9%0%
Ben Carson5%4%3%
John R. Kasich8%4%3%
Rand Paul0%0%3%
Carly Fiorina0%1%1%
Elizabeth Gray4%1%0%
Rick Santorum5%1%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%0%0%

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categoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Ted Cruz38%36%33%
Donald J. Trump28%44%26%
Marco Rubio15%16%15%
Jeb Bush5%4%9%
Ben Carson4%0%10%
John R. Kasich6%0%0%
Rand Paul2%0%2%
Carly Fiorina1%0%0%
Elizabeth Gray0%0%2%
Rick Santorum0%0%3%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee1%0%0%

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categoryMaleFemale
Ted Cruz41%34%
Donald J. Trump26%32%
Marco Rubio16%13%
Jeb Bush6%5%
Ben Carson3%7%
John R. Kasich4%5%
Rand Paul2%1%
Carly Fiorina0%1%
Elizabeth Gray1%0%
Rick Santorum0%1%
Chris Christie0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%1%

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category18-2930-4445-6465+
Ted Cruz35%40%38%35%
Donald J. Trump10%25%36%25%
Marco Rubio17%10%12%21%
Jeb Bush14%3%5%5%
Ben Carson6%11%2%3%
John R. Kasich5%3%4%8%
Rand Paul0%4%1%2%
Carly Fiorina2%1%1%0%
Elizabeth Gray5%1%0%0%
Rick Santorum4%0%1%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee2%0%0%1%

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categoryNo high schoolHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Ted Cruz41%39%50%28%34%20%
Donald J. Trump18%31%29%42%28%20%
Marco Rubio34%10%6%13%14%35%
Jeb Bush0%5%7%6%5%7%
Ben Carson0%6%4%0%8%0%
John R. Kasich0%2%3%6%6%15%
Rand Paul7%2%1%0%2%0%
Carly Fiorina0%0%0%0%2%3%
Elizabeth Gray0%0%0%4%1%0%
Rick Santorum0%3%0%0%0%0%
Chris Christie0%1%0%0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee0%1%0%0%0%0%

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categoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Ted Cruz26%42%40%
Donald J. Trump36%24%31%
Marco Rubio21%13%10%
Jeb Bush7%5%6%
Ben Carson1%5%6%
John R. Kasich3%7%2%
Rand Paul0%2%3%
Carly Fiorina2%0%1%
Elizabeth Gray1%1%0%
Rick Santorum1%1%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Lindsey Graham0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee1%0%1%

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categoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Ted Cruz44%29%41%22%
Donald J. Trump24%39%18%33%
Marco Rubio13%16%5%27%
Jeb Bush5%6%0%12%
Ben Carson5%3%11%0%
John R. Kasich4%4%17%5%
Rand Paul2%1%2%1%
Carly Fiorina1%0%5%0%
Elizabeth Gray0%1%1%0%
Rick Santorum1%1%0%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee1%0%0%0%

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categoryThe Bible is the word of God, to be taken literallyThe Bible is the word of God, not to be taken literallyThe Bible is a book written by men
Ted Cruz44%37%26%
Donald J. Trump25%32%27%
Marco Rubio13%15%18%
Jeb Bush4%5%15%
Ben Carson7%3%5%
John R. Kasich2%6%7%
Rand Paul2%1%1%
Carly Fiorina0%0%0%
Elizabeth Gray2%0%0%
Rick Santorum1%1%0%
Chris Christie0%0%0%
Mike Huckabee1%0%0%

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