Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024? (August 2022)

Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024? (August 2022)

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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?"
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categoryTotal
Yes, should run34%
No, should not run57%
Don't know / No opinion9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Yes, should run6%20%61%
No, should not run91%57%27%
Don't know / No opinion3%22%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Yes, should run7%8%4%
No, should not run93%80%95%
Don't know / No opinion0%12%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Yes, should run53%48%72%
No, should not run36%40%17%
Don't know / No opinion11%12%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Yes, should run10%21%58%
No, should not run88%66%30%
Don't know / No opinion2%13%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Yes, should run14%7%11%
No, should not run84%91%88%
Don't know / No opinion3%1%1%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Yes, should run41%56%72%
No, should not run48%29%18%
Don't know / No opinion12%15%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Yes, should run40%9%30%
No, should not run49%86%62%
Don't know / No opinion11%4%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Yes, should run36%32%
No, should not run53%61%
Don't know / No opinion11%8%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Yes, should run28%33%45%
No, should not run63%57%45%
Don't know / No opinion9%10%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Yes, should run28%33%35%37%
No, should not run61%58%57%54%
Don't know / No opinion11%10%8%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Yes, should run28%41%29%34%36%25%
No, should not run60%52%59%61%55%65%
Don't know / No opinion12%7%12%5%10%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Yes, should run41%40%24%17%
No, should not run50%49%63%78%
Don't know / No opinion8%11%13%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "Should Donald Trump run for president in 2024?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Yes, should run48%34%20%31%
No, should not run42%56%78%45%
Don't know / No opinion11%10%3%24%

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