U.S. Congress Trial Ballot (April 2022)

U.S. Congress Trial Ballot (April 2022)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]"
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categoryTotal
Republican candidate48%
Democratic candidate39%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion13%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Republican candidate2%34%91%
Democratic candidate92%16%2%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion6%50%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Republican candidate6%0%2%
Democratic candidate82%93%95%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion12%7%3%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Republican candidate86%85%97%
Democratic candidate4%3%1%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion10%11%2%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Republican candidate7%26%88%
Democratic candidate83%49%6%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion10%26%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Republican candidate7%5%9%
Democratic candidate73%90%82%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion21%5%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Republican candidate74%90%93%
Democratic candidate10%7%3%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion16%3%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Republican candidate61%9%37%
Democratic candidate29%70%48%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion9%21%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Republican candidate54%43%
Democratic candidate36%42%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion10%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Republican candidate34%50%65%
Democratic candidate55%38%21%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion11%13%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Republican candidate41%40%51%56%
Democratic candidate38%41%39%38%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion21%19%10%6%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Republican candidate64%46%47%46%52%46%
Democratic candidate28%40%39%40%36%45%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion8%14%14%14%12%9%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Republican candidate62%47%37%30%
Democratic candidate26%41%49%58%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion12%13%14%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2022 election for the United States House of Representatives in your district were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for, or haven't you thought about it enough to have an opinion? [RANDOMIZE 1-2]" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Republican candidate65%53%27%33%
Democratic candidate23%34%62%41%
Haven't thought enough about it to have an opinion11%12%11%26%

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