U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Vote Choice (December 2023)

U.S. Senate Democratic Primary Vote Choice (December 2023)

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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]"
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categoryTotal
Colin Allred28%
Roland Gutierrez7%
Meri Gomez3%
Carl Sherman2%
Sherri Taylor2%
Victor D. Dunn2%
Mark A. Gonzalez2%
John Love III2%
Steve Keough1%
Tracy Andrus1%
Aaron Arguijo1%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%
Teresa Naranjo0%
Thierry Tchenko0%
Someone else2%
Haven't thought about it enough...38%
Don't know10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
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CategoryDemocratIndependentRepublican
Colin Allred30%12%19%
Roland Gutierrez8%3%0%
Meri Gomez3%8%0%
Carl Sherman1%0%9%
Sherri Taylor2%0%5%
Victor D. Dunn2%0%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez2%0%27%
John Love III0%6%16%
Steve Keough0%0%0%
Tracy Andrus1%0%0%
Aaron Arguijo1%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else2%8%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...37%55%0%
Don't know10%8%26%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean DemocratNot very strong DemocratStrong Democrat
Colin Allred30%23%34%
Roland Gutierrez3%5%10%
Meri Gomez2%1%4%
Carl Sherman4%1%0%
Sherri Taylor0%6%1%
Victor D. Dunn3%1%2%
Mark A. Gonzalez2%5%1%
John Love III0%0%0%
Steve Keough0%0%0%
Tracy Andrus0%2%1%
Aaron Arguijo0%1%1%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%1%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%1%0%
Someone else2%2%2%
Haven't thought about it enough...51%41%32%
Don't know5%10%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
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CategoryLean RepublicanNot very strong RepublicanStrong Republican
Colin Allred0%38%0%
Roland Gutierrez0%0%0%
Meri Gomez0%0%0%
Carl Sherman0%0%100%
Sherri Taylor0%10%0%
Victor D. Dunn0%0%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez63%0%0%
John Love III37%0%0%
Steve Keough0%0%0%
Tracy Andrus0%0%0%
Aaron Arguijo0%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...0%0%0%
Don't know0%53%0%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLiberalsModeratesConservatives
Colin Allred33%24%3%
Roland Gutierrez7%7%9%
Meri Gomez3%2%2%
Carl Sherman1%2%0%
Sherri Taylor2%2%3%
Victor D. Dunn3%0%9%
Mark A. Gonzalez2%2%5%
John Love III1%2%6%
Steve Keough0%0%2%
Tracy Andrus2%0%2%
Aaron Arguijo1%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%2%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else3%1%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...34%47%34%
Don't know8%12%22%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean liberalSomewhat liberalExtremely liberal
Colin Allred31%31%37%
Roland Gutierrez3%9%7%
Meri Gomez2%4%3%
Carl Sherman1%2%2%
Sherri Taylor7%0%1%
Victor D. Dunn0%5%2%
Mark A. Gonzalez1%3%2%
John Love III0%0%2%
Steve Keough0%0%1%
Tracy Andrus3%2%1%
Aaron Arguijo1%1%1%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko1%0%0%
Someone else0%3%5%
Haven't thought about it enough...37%32%34%
Don't know13%7%5%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
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CategoryLean conservativeSomewhat conservativeExtremely conservative
Colin Allred6%2%0%
Roland Gutierrez14%5%14%
Meri Gomez6%0%0%
Carl Sherman0%0%0%
Sherri Taylor8%0%0%
Victor D. Dunn5%7%38%
Mark A. Gonzalez13%0%0%
John Love III0%11%0%
Steve Keough0%4%0%
Tracy Andrus5%0%0%
Aaron Arguijo0%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman6%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else0%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...23%41%41%
Don't know14%29%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
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CategoryWhiteBlackHispanic
Colin Allred33%31%17%
Roland Gutierrez6%5%11%
Meri Gomez4%2%2%
Carl Sherman3%0%1%
Sherri Taylor2%1%1%
Victor D. Dunn3%5%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez3%0%1%
John Love III2%2%0%
Steve Keough0%2%0%
Tracy Andrus1%1%2%
Aaron Arguijo2%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%1%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else2%0%3%
Haven't thought about it enough...32%41%46%
Don't know7%12%15%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
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CategoryMaleFemale
Colin Allred26%29%
Roland Gutierrez8%6%
Meri Gomez4%2%
Carl Sherman1%2%
Sherri Taylor1%2%
Victor D. Dunn3%2%
Mark A. Gonzalez4%1%
John Love III1%2%
Steve Keough1%0%
Tracy Andrus1%2%
Aaron Arguijo1%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%
Someone else1%2%
Haven't thought about it enough...37%38%
Don't know8%11%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
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CategoryUrbanSuburbanRural
Colin Allred24%32%21%
Roland Gutierrez8%8%3%
Meri Gomez3%3%0%
Carl Sherman1%3%0%
Sherri Taylor2%2%0%
Victor D. Dunn3%1%5%
Mark A. Gonzalez4%1%0%
John Love III3%0%0%
Steve Keough1%0%0%
Tracy Andrus2%0%2%
Aaron Arguijo2%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%
Someone else2%1%3%
Haven't thought about it enough...37%38%41%
Don't know7%9%25%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
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Category18-2930-4445-6465+
Colin Allred11%16%36%51%
Roland Gutierrez8%4%7%11%
Meri Gomez5%5%1%0%
Carl Sherman3%4%0%0%
Sherri Taylor2%4%1%0%
Victor D. Dunn3%6%1%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez5%1%3%0%
John Love III4%3%0%0%
Steve Keough1%1%0%0%
Tracy Andrus3%2%0%0%
Aaron Arguijo3%1%0%0%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%1%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo1%0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko1%0%0%0%
Someone else5%3%0%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...36%42%41%26%
Don't know10%9%11%12%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
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CategoryNo HSHigh school graduateSome college2-year4-yearPost-grad
Colin Allred30%24%27%18%29%38%
Roland Gutierrez0%6%10%6%8%7%
Meri Gomez0%4%0%9%3%1%
Carl Sherman6%0%0%0%3%3%
Sherri Taylor0%1%3%0%3%2%
Victor D. Dunn0%2%0%8%3%2%
Mark A. Gonzalez0%3%0%4%2%4%
John Love III0%1%1%0%2%4%
Steve Keough0%1%0%0%1%0%
Tracy Andrus0%0%1%1%3%0%
Aaron Arguijo0%1%0%0%1%1%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%0%0%0%1%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%0%0%1%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%0%0%1%
Someone else0%0%2%7%3%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...31%44%48%38%30%30%
Don't know33%13%8%10%8%7%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
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CategoryExtremely importantSomewhat importantNot very importantNot at all important
Colin Allred16%26%39%39%
Roland Gutierrez10%8%3%5%
Meri Gomez4%2%0%4%
Carl Sherman2%1%2%2%
Sherri Taylor1%3%5%0%
Victor D. Dunn6%1%1%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez3%1%1%2%
John Love III2%3%2%0%
Steve Keough1%2%0%0%
Tracy Andrus1%3%1%0%
Aaron Arguijo1%1%0%1%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%1%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%0%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%0%
Someone else1%3%1%2%
Haven't thought about it enough...40%36%40%35%
Don't know11%11%6%10%
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    Respondents were asked, "If the 2024 Democratic primary election for U.S. Senate were held today, which of the following candidates would you vote for? [RANDOMIZE 1-14]" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.
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CategoryThe Bible is the actual word of God and is to be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is the word of God but not everything in it should be taken literally, word for word.The Bible is a book written by men and is not the word of God.Don't know.
Colin Allred15%29%42%9%
Roland Gutierrez8%9%6%2%
Meri Gomez3%3%0%13%
Carl Sherman2%1%2%3%
Sherri Taylor2%1%2%5%
Victor D. Dunn7%1%0%0%
Mark A. Gonzalez2%3%2%0%
John Love III5%1%0%0%
Steve Keough2%0%0%0%
Tracy Andrus3%1%0%0%
Aaron Arguijo0%1%0%6%
Heli Rodriguez-Prilliman0%1%0%0%
Teresa Naranjo0%1%0%0%
Thierry Tchenko0%0%0%0%
Someone else0%3%3%0%
Haven't thought about it enough...38%38%36%42%
Don't know13%9%7%20%

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