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U.S. Senate Trial Ballot (October 2024)

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Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?"
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Measurement of Party ID for this figure is based on two questions. First, respondents were asked whether they consider themselves to be a Democrats, Republicans, independents, other, or not sure. Those who responded that they are independents or "other" were then asked if they lean toward either the Democrats or Republicans. If they indicated that they lean toward one party or the other, they are considered Democrats or Republicans for the purposes of this figure. Only "pure" independents or members of a third party who indicate that they have no preference for Democrats vis-a-vis Republicans are considered independents. Respondents who answered that they are "not sure" for either of the two aforementioned questions are not incorporated into this figure.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Party identification is calculated according to the PID7 variable, a seven point scale of party identification.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Ideology is measured on a scale of 1-7, with 1 corresponding to "extremely liberal", 7 corresponding to "extremely conservative, and 4 corresponding to "in the middle." For the purposes of this table, respondents who placed themselves at or between points 1 and 3 on the scale are considered "liberal," respondents who placed themselves at point 4 on the scale are considered "moderate," and respondents who placed themselves at or between points 5 and 7 on the scale are considered conservative.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Race is calculated according to the race variable.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Gender is calculated according to the GENDER variable.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Community type is based on the following question, " Would you say that you live in an urban, suburban, or rural community?"
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Age is calculated according to the AGEG variable.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Education is calculated according to the EDUC variable.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Religiosity is calculated according to the IMPORT variable.
More Respondents were asked, " If the 2024 election for U.S. Congress in your district were held today, would you vote for [RANDOMIZE ORDER “the Democratic candidate”, “the Republican candidate”] the Democratic candidate, the Republican candidate, or haven’t you thought enough about it to have an opinion?" Fundamentalism is calculated according to the LITERAL variable.

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